May 26, 2013

Kerry at Mideast corner of optimism and skepticism

0df193d9c9a8994b97b764cdfd87a9e5 Kerry at Mideast corner of optimism and skepticism

(PhatzNewsRoom / Security) — If there is one thing Israelis and Palestinians can agree on, it’s that John Kerry doesn’t lack enthusiasm.

Arriving in Israel on Thursday on his fourth trip since taking office, the secretary of state seems determined that will be enough to coax Israelis and Palestinians into restarting long-stalled talks.

Kerry has made it clear the Israeli-Palestinian issue will be the centerpiece of his tenure as America’s top diplomat and hopes solving it will be his legacy.

He has spent more time on this issue than any other, is in almost daily contact with and speaks with Abbas several times a week.

Kerry is confident he is the man to solve the conflict, now a half-century-old. Kerry feels the decades he has spent working on this issue and longstanding relationships with the regional leaders has earned him the trust needed to hammer home a deal.

But U.S. officials lament that Kerry still acts like a senator – mostly working the issue with input from only a few close aides and leaving the majority of the State Department’s senior staffers out of the loop.

Even with the parties themselves, Kerry has been tight-lipped about his peace plan. But Israeli and say he has begun to lay out broad strokes on how to get the parties back to the table.

The package Kerry is working on is said to include confidence-building measures by both sides aimed at creating a more fertile climate for talks.

In addition to a for restarting negotiations and for Israel, Kerry is also trying to increase economic development and private investment in the West Bank.

All sides recognize this as a key aspect for the creation of a Palestinian state and Palestinians have long complained that over the West Bank, with its military check points and travel restrictions, has been the main impediment to their economic growth.

Arab states are also heavily involved in Kerry’s strategy, who was recently able to persuade the 22-member Arab League to reintroduce a decade-old peace offer to Israel with new incentives to sweeten the deal – a significant development given the absence of peace talks in more than four years.

Neither side doubts Kerry’s good intentions and his clear sense of mission. What is missing is a tangible progress as a result of Kerry’s efforts, and faith those efforts will bear fruit.

More importantly, neither Israelis nor Palestinians have matched Kerry’s enthusiasm with actions that indicate they are serious about renewing the .

Before sitting down with Kerry on Thursday, Netanyahu acknowledged the American’s efforts, telling him, “You’ve been working at it a great deal.”

“It’s something I want. It’s something you want. It’s something I hope the Palestinians want as well,” Netanyahu said. “And we ought to be successful for a simple reason: When there’s a will, we’ll find a way.”

Kerry returned the praise for the Israeli leader, thanking him for the “seriousness” with which he is approaching a possible resumption of talks.

Yet last week Kerry had to phone Netanyahu to voice U.S. concern at Israel’s plan to legalize four unauthorized settler outposts in the West Bank.

American officials point to Israeli restraint in recent weeks from issuing new bids for Jewish settlement construction as a gesture to the Palestinians in advance of talks.

But the government continues to approve plans for new homes in certain settlements as part of previous agreements. The Palestinians have said they will not return to the table while Israel continues to build.

They also insist Israel releases Palestinian prisoners and accept the pre-1967 border as the contour of a future Palestinian state before talks can begin.

Israeli officials say Palestinian preconditions call into question Abbas’ seriousness about negotiations.

“The Palestinians are on negative automatic pilot,” one senior said. “John Kerry is doing some very good work, and we will be very disappointed if President Abbas doesn’t pick up the ball.”

But Palestinians consider these issues Israeli obligations that go the heart of the mistrust they have for Israeli intensions and unless they are met, talks would be pointless. They say Netanyahu wants negotiations, but is unwilling to make peace.

“What we are staying is give (us) negotiations that have credibility, meaning legality and bring Israel to compliance and we will negotiate,” Hanan Ashrawi, a member of the executive committee of the PLO, told CNN.

“People see a lot of motion but haven’t seen results yet. Palestinians have been twice bitten by all this motion without any substance without any results. The Palestinians are understandably extremely skeptical because the moment they see the U.S. administration willing to stand-up to Israel and Israeli violations then they will take these steps seriously,” she said.

Palestinian officials say they are working on a “day-after” strategy if Kerry does not meet a June 7 deadline for introducing a proposal for talks. This strategy includes plans to seek membership in key international organizations.

Last September, the Palestinians won recognition from the U.N. General Assembly as a non-member state. This upgraded diplomatic status gives them access to U.N. bodies. Now Israel fears the Palestinians will seek membership in international agencies like the International Criminal Court, where it can press for war crimes charges against Israel.

None of this points to positive prospects for Kerry’s diplomatic efforts. Kerry acknowledged the uphill battle Thursday at his meeting with Netanyahu.

“I know this region well enough to know that there is skepticism; in some corridors, there’s cynicism,” he said. “And there are reasons for it. There have been bitter years of disappointment. It is our hope that by being methodical, careful, patient, but detailed and tenacious, that we can lay out a path ahead that could conceivably surprise people, but certainly exhaust the possibilities of peace.”

Kerry’s words may seem well-worn and cliché to a war-weary region, but they should not be taken for granted.

After years of complaining that the United States was not fully invested in the peace process, Israelis and Palestinians now have an American secretary of state willing to devote considerable time and political will to solving the conflict. It remains to be seen whether the parties will seize upon his determination and do some of the hard work themselves to help him solve it.

Kerry to return to Mideast later this month on peace process push

d760198af8c0afe2106ae0d4cac2dde9 Kerry to return to Mideast later this month on peace process push

(PhatzNewsRoom / Security) — Secretary of State said Wednesday he will return to the Middle East later this month to try to push forward on the .

In Rome Wednesday, Kerry met with Israeli Tsipi Livni and Itzhak Moho, Israel’s with the .

Conferring at the residence of the U.S. ambassador to Italy, Kerry said he and his partners face a short time timespan. “We understand the imperative to try to have some as rapidly as we can,” he said.

He called the ’s decision last week “an important step forward” and said he spoke Wednesday with Qatar’s prime minister, the chairman of the committee.

Last week the Arab League agreed to ease its demand that Israel return to its pre-1967 borders and accept the possibility of tweaking the borders with agreed-upon land swaps.

“They want to keep the progress moving,” Kerry said.

Kerry will travel to Israel on May 21 or 22 to meet with and .

Livni praised Kerry’s “enthusiasm and efforts” and said “they can change the reality.” She thanked Kerry, adding that “some of us had lost hope.”

Israel says Syria used chemical weapons; Russia warns of ‘Iraqi scenario’

87ee916d6c4a9d9c25fa52409d65265a Israel says Syria used chemical weapons; Russia warns of Iraqi scenario
(Screenshot from YouTube / Two sites Sunday morning reported on a video allegedly posted by Syrian rebels over the weekend purporting to show four victims of a supposed chemical attack outside Aleppo.)

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: Russia’s foreign minister warns of claiming use without proof
NEW: He accuses some nations of trying to “politicize the issue”
“In all likelihood, they used sarin gas,” an Israeli says
The top U.S. diplomat says he has not gotten confirmation of chemical weapon use

() — Are Syrian forces using chemical weapons in their years-long fight to hold on to power?

That’s what the head of the intelligence research and analysis division said Tuesday, becoming the latest to allege that Damascus was employing weapons banned under international law against its own people.

The claim further stoked the debate about the international community’s role in Syria, where the United Nations estimated this month that 70,000 people have been killed since the conflict flared in March 2011. U.S. President Barack , for one, has said the ’s use of chemical weapons against its own people would be a “game changer” in how his and other nations address the crisis.

On Tuesday, his nation’s top diplomat said Tuesday that the United States does not know definitively that such chemical weapons had been deployed. In fact, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said, Israeli Prime also did not confirm the use of such weapons when the two spoke by phone earlier in the day.

“The information that I have at this point does not confirm it to me (in a manner) that I would feel comfortable commenting on it as a fact,” Kerry said.

Israeli . Gen. Itai Brun, though not offering any direct evidence, stated firmly on Tuesday the belief that Syrian forces have increasingly used “ground-to-ground missiles, rockets and chemical weapons.”

He specified that sarin gas — an odorless nerve agent that can quickly kill thousands by causing convulsions, paralysis and respiratory failure — was most likely used, as were “neutralizing and nonlethal chemical weapons.” Brun pointed to one episode on March 19 in which, he said, “victims suffered from shrunken pupils, foaming from the mouth and other symptoms which indicate the use of deadly chemical weapons.”

“According to our professional assessment, the regime has used deadly chemical weapons against armed rebels on a number of occasions in the past few months,” said Brun, according to quotes provided by the IDF.

In a letter to the U.N. secretary-general in December, Syria said the United States had falsely accused it of using chemical weapons.

Before the Israeli official’s announcement Tuesday, a United Nations-led investigation was already looking into accusations of chemical weapons use by the Syrian government.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned Tuesday against jumping to conclusions by repeating the “Iraqi scenario” in which claims that Saddam Hussein’s government possessed so-called weapons of mass destruction were the basis of the U.S.-led invasion.

Lavrov accused other nations of “politicizing the issue.” Further, he criticized how international investigators looking into an alleged use of chemical investigators in Aleppo had demanded access to to all facilities in Syria and to have the right to interview any Syrian.

“I believe that is too much,” Lavrov said.

U.S.: Chemical weapon use ‘difficult to confirm’

While he didn’t detail a possible U.S. response, Jay on Tuesday called the potential use of chemical weapons inside Syria “unacceptable.”

At the same time, he said, “The use of chemical weapons is difficult to confirm.”

In addition to Syria’s possible use of chemical weapons against rebels, another concern is that parts of the government’s stockpile of chemical weapons — which analysts believe is one of the world’s largest and includes sarin, mustard and VX gases — could end up, if they haven’t already, in others’ hands.

A senior U.S. official told CNN on Tuesday that Syrian government forces have carried out several movements of chemical weapons during the past month.

U.S. officials said they believe the chemical stockpiles remain under government control, but the movements have complicated the U.S. effort to keep track of them.

Asked last week at a hearing whether the United States could guarantee that it could secure Syria’s chemical weapons stockpile if the government were to fall, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff was noncommittal.

“Not as I sit here today, simply because they have been moving it, and the number of sites is quite numerous,” said Gen. Martin Dempsey.

Pentagon spokesman George Little said Tuesday that the U.S. stresses to Syria, “in the strongest possible terms, (its) obligations … to safeguard its chemical weapons stockpiles and not to use or transfer such weapons to terrorist groups like Hezbollah.”

Addressing the press Monday, a day before Brun’s briefing, Israel’s defense minister did not seem to indicate that his government has absolute proof of chemical weapons use in Syria.

But if there was, Israel is prepared to act.

“We are ready to operate if any rogue element is going to put his hands or any chemical agents are going to be delivered toward rogue elements in the region,” Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon said.

Syria isn’t one of the 188 nations that have signed on to the Chemical Weapons Convention that prohibits the production, stockpiling and use of chemical and biological weapons. Fellow Middle Eastern nations having taken a similar stance, officially refusing to sign on until Israel signs the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Yet Syria has denied having such weapons, as well as using them during its ongoing civil war. (Damascus has accused rebels of using such weapons, though, including in an attack last month in the northern province of Aleppo that state media claimed killed 25 people.) It’s also expressed concerns that its government might be falsely implicated if “terrorists” — a term it uses to refer to rebel fighters — employ such weapons.

“What raises concerns … is our serious fear that some of the countries backing terrorism and terrorists might provide the armed terrorist groups with chemical weapons and claim that it was the Syrian government that used the weapons,” the state-run news agency SANA reported.

Unlike nuclear weapons, chemical weapons are inexpensive to develop and stockpile.

This lends them a disproportionate importance for Syria and the region, analysts say.

“In the Middle East, chemical weapons have been seen as a possible counter to Israel’s nuclear weapons,” Susan B. Martin of the Department of War Studies at King’s College London said in March.

Dina Esfandiary, a research associate at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said last month that Syria embraced a chemical weapons program as a way to bolster its strategic strength despite economic weaknesses, especially after Israel imposed a series of humiliating military defeats on the Arab world.

Syria’s chemical weapon potential

“The best way to operate asymmetrically was for Syria to have its chemical weapons program,” she said.

According to Esfandiary, chemical weapons’ utility is “quite limited,” as they are more of a deterrent than a real battlefield or tactical weapon.

“If you shoot a missile at a population center, you can be fairly certain that anyone it hits will die,” she said. “Chemical weapons use is not as clear-cut as that. It depends on topography, weather, how you deliver the chemical weapons, and you can’t always be clear it will cause maximum casualty.”

Their real power is in psychological, she said.

“It’s a fantastic weapon of fear.”

CNN’s Elise Labott, Barbara Starr and Laura Smith-Spark contributed to this report.

Kerry to Israel, Turkey in bid to boost peace process, solidify ties

f295277a2b8791ae13a00b39739ce37c Kerry to Israel, Turkey in bid to boost peace process, solidify ties

(PhatzNewsRoom / CNN Security) — Secretary of State will travel to Israel and Turkey this weekend to try to jumpstart the long-stalled Mideast and build on the two nations’ efforts to repair ties, U.S. and Turkish officials said Wednesday.

Kerry moved up his Monday departure for London and then South Korea, China and Japan in order to capitalize on the reconciliation President Barack Obama brokered between Turkey and Israel during his visit to the region last month, according to the officials, who spoke on anonymity because the trip had not been announced. He will also discuss the crisis in Syria.

Obama scored a diplomatic success during his visit to Israel last month when he persuaded Israeli Prime to apologize to Turkey for a 2010 that killed nine activists on a Turkish vessel in a Gaza-bound flotilla.

The apology, long sought by , eased strained feelings between the two vital U.S. allies in the Middle East.

Kerry’s visit to Israel, the third in as many weeks, is part of what officials expect will be a several-month period in which Kerry tries to move the two sides toward formal peace negotiations. He is expected to meet with Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian President

Mahmoud Abbas, seeking confidence-building measures from both sides to nudge the parties back to the table.

Officials said Kerry hopes to persuade Abbas to agree not to seek any further unilateral recognition at the United Nations, as well as offer for the Jordan Valley, a section of the that stretches from the with Jordan and remains under full . Israel has long demanded for the area, which includes Jewish settlements and Israeli military bases. In past years Israel has insisted on keeping a small force to ensure border security.

Part of Kerry’s strategy, according to U.S. officials, is to leverage those gestures by Abbas into concessions from Netanyahu on the issue of settlements, which has remained one of the thorniest points of the conflict. Abbas has long demanded a complete freeze in Jewish settlement construction before returning to peace negotiations.

Officials are wary of references to the shuttle diplomacy of previous administrations that have failed to bring about a peace deal.

“We know the optics of this will raise expectations and we don’t want to do that because it is going to be a slow grind,” one U.S. official said. “Clearly Kerry is interested and wants to be involved in a way that Hillary (Clinton) was not. But you need to ask whether something is possible. Kerry thinks it is possible and is going to make a go of it. So we are going to balance this with the reality that these are tough issues and this is going to take a lot of time.”

Politico: President Obama in Israel – 5 takeaways

9bf9ecff560f56be3b2a1e07dc49a678 Politico: President Obama in Israel   5 takeaways

(PhatzNewsRoom / Politico) — AMMAN, Jordan — The White House insisted there would be no huge breakthroughs on President Barack Obama’s to Israel as president — a promise Obama kept.

He made some progress in key areas — not hard to do given how little Obama accomplished in the region during his first term. But building on those steps would require the kind of sustained involvement Obama seems hesitant to do.

Obama did seem to improve his standing significantly with the Israeli public and patch up his bruised relationship with Benjamin Netanyahu. That’s probably a prerequisite for progress on Mideast peace, even if there’s nothing to show for it right away.

Here are POLITICO’s takeways from Obama’s visit to the region.

Bibi and Barack patch it up

For Obama and Netanyahu, it was definitely not love at first sight in 2009. But during the president’s three days in Israel, they finally seemed to build some rapport.

Netanyahu, who’s old enough that his first run as prime minister was when Bill Clinton was president in the 1990s, also leapt at every opportunity to pick up on Obama’s youthful charisma. When Obama stripped off his suit jacket and strode across the Tel Aviv airport tarmac in his shirtsleeves, proclaiming, “I’m a young man. I like to walk,” Netanyahu quickly stripped off his suit coat, as well. As photographers snapped away, the two men walked side by side with their jackets slung over their shoulders, looking vigorous and producing one of the iconic images of the trip.

Obama quickly struck a kind of buddy-buddy with Netanyahu, noting some colored markings on the pavement and quipping, “He’s always talking to me about red lines.”

By the time of a Thursday night, Obama and Netanyahu were leaning in to each other like old friends, chatting intensely. The president even used his hand to try to shield their words from prying cameras.

During their joint appearances, Netanyahu gushed over Obama, saluting his “great success mobilizing the international community” to sanction Iran over its . The Israeli prime minister said he would “cherish” Obama’s remarks on the historical origins of the state of Israel and said there’s more between them now than most have come to expect.

“I think that people should get to know President Obama the way I’ve gotten to know him,” Netanyahu said, suggesting a kind of intimacy entirely at odds with the first four years of their relationship.

The White House’s decision to have Obama speak to the Israeli people from a convention center rather than at the Knesset and the public declaration that the speech was the centerpiece of the president’s trip initially seemed like a snub — a kind of end-run around Netanyahu. But the move also took some pressure off the leaders’ relationship. Obama did the same when he stressed publicly that he understood the complex nature of Israeli politics and Netanyahu’s new coalition, accepting that big breakthroughs on the would require more than just a nod from the prime minister.

During Obama’s first couple of years in office, he pursued a strategy on Israeli-Palestinian peace that — intentionally or not — seemed to involve putting greater distance between the United States and the Jewish state. The initial approach sought to set the U.S. up as a kind of fair broker between Israel and the Palestinians by essentially prodding the Israelis to concede to Palestinians’ longtime demands that Israeli settlement activity in the cease before talks could resume.

It didn’t work and helped generate significant political blowback in the U.S. that dogged the president all the way through the 2012 election.

Obama’s second-term strategy became clear during the trip: express such unqualified, heartfelt love and affection for Israelis and the state of Israel that they trust him to have Israel’s back in future peace talks, then coax Palestinians back to the table despite the improbability that Israel will halt settlement construction outside the context of some kind of peace deal.

Going into the trip, Obama was going to make gestures of support for Zionism, like visiting the grave of the founder of modern Zionism, Theodor Herzl.

But Obama warmed the hearts of many Jews by paying tribute to the ideas of Zionism and Jews’ historic connection to the Holy Land within minutes of getting off the plane. Sure, he didn’t kiss the tarmac as some Jews do. But his statements were unequivocal and rejected Arab narratives about Jews and the Jewish state being interlopers or worse.

“I know that in stepping foot on this land, I walk with you on the historic homeland of the Jewish people,” the president declared just 20 seconds into his remarks at the Tel Aviv airport. “More than 3,000 years ago, the Jewish people lived here, tended the land here, prayed to God here.”

One of the downsides to Obama’s strategy is that in a part of the world where many take a zero-sum point of view, any step closer to the Israelis is a step away from the Palestinians. And the bear hug Obama seemed to give Israel left many Palestinians feeling they’d gotten the cold shoulder.

Obama’s itinerary fed that discomfort. While Israelis got a 50-minute speech to the nation and Obama’s presence at a state dinner, there were no such events for the Palestinians. He spoke for about 10 minutes at a press conference with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and then took a couple of questions.

Despite the lack of parity, Obama did say some things that could resonate with Palestinians. He compared the plight of their children to African-Americans in the United States under Jim Crow. And he criticized “settler violence against Palestinians [that] goes unpunished.”

But other aspects of Obama’s strategy remain murky. Obama seemed to publicly endorse a “borders and security ” first approach Secretary of State has discussed publicly, urging the two parties to try to settle those questions before tackling trickier issues like Jerusalem, right of return for refugees and whether Palestinians will recognize Israel as a Jewish state. But a senior Obama administration official also dismissed “a lot of interim measures” as the way forward.

“What we want to do is get down to the fundamental issues here so the parties are dealing with questions that will resolve the conflicts, not simply open up a process of discussion,” said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Surprise substance: Obama defrosts Israel-Turkey ties

In advance of the trip, the White House signaled — almost boasted — that it didn’t expect any significant policy announcements during the visit. Yet a breakthrough came on an issue rarely mentioned in the U.S. press before this trip: Obama helped oversee a defrosting of the relationship between Israel and Turkey, the first majority Muslim country to recognize Israel and still one of the few to do so.

Relations between Ankara and Jerusalem went into a deep freeze in 2010 after an Israeli on a Turkish flotilla that claimed to be bringing aid to Gaza. The raid killed Turkish nationals and one American. Israel said their commandos came under attack from the self-styled peace activists.

Turkish officials demanded an apology and as recently as earlier this month, continued to sling hostile rhetoric at Israel. At a United Nations conference in Vienna, Recep Erdogan called Zionism a “crime against humanity,” a description that particularly rankles Jews in light of the Holocaust.

Netanyahu appears to have decided that Obama’s overtures or entreaties made it worth bending a bit. So on Friday, moments before the president took off from Israel for Jordan, Netanyahu and Obama went into a trailer at the Tel Aviv airport and made a call to Erdogan. With Obama standing by, the Israeli prime minister offered a kind of qualified apology, expressing regret for any loss of life caused by Israeli mistakes in the raid. Then the president jumped on the call and thanked the pair for getting things back on track.

“I discussed it with Prime Minister Netanyahu, and both of us agreed that the moment was right, and fortunately, they were able to begin the process of rebuilding normal relations between two very important countries in the region,” Obama said in a statement afterward.

Urgency of Iran raid decision dialed back

It could be simply that both Netanyahu and Obama were eager to paper over their differences about how best to resolve the grave concerns about Iran’s nuclear program, but the U.S. and Israeli stances seemed a little less in conflict during Obama’s visit to Israel.

While Netanyahu talked last fall about a need to act by spring — which just began — or by summer, he did not use that language this time around but instead spoke in vaguer terms. “Whatever time is left, there’s not a lot of time,” he said.

It’s unclear exactly why Netanyahu isn’t publicly suggesting action needs to be taken in the next few months, as he suggested would be the case in his speech at the United Nations last year. However, there are some indications that the Iranians might have encountered some difficulties in their program or might have chosen to slow it down somewhat for some reason.

So while it’s still the case that the U.S. and Israel differ about how soon action should be taken if Iran doesn’t abandon the program, the pressure to resolve those difference seems to have eased. That looks to have been enough to avoid a sharper exchange on this point during Obama’s visit.

Obama fears being drawn in on Syria

One of the three issues officially on the agenda for this trip was the crisis in Syria. The humanitarian aspect of the civil war there is disturbing enough, but the situation now threatens to destabilize other countries in the region, including Jordan.

King Abdullah II painted a frightening picture for Obama of the situation, with an estimated 460,000 Syrians having crossed the border to escape the fighting. The total could hit 1 million by the end of the year.

“This has added economic and financial costs due to the influx and has further strained the economy that is already under considerable external pressures with an unstable region,” Abdullah told reporters.

The U.S. has contributed aid to Jordan to help address the crisis and recently cleared the way to deliver more aid to Syrians in rebel-controlled areas. Obama said Friday that he will ask Congress to chip in another $200 million. But the administration has for more than a year rebuffed suggestions to send U.S. arms to the rebels despite former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey pressing for such aid.

A former Obama aide said one of the president’s concerns about aiding the rebels is that it will lead to calls for direct U.S. military action.

“There are second- and third-order consequences to that sort of decision that are enormous,” former White House spokesman Tommy Vietor said on MSNBC last week. “We’re at the 10-year anniversary of the Iraq war. I think we need to remember … that 150,000 troops couldn’t stop a sectarian war.”

However, many former national security officials believe the U.S. should use military aid to hasten the fall of the Assad regime and to preserve U.S. influence with the future leaders of Syria.

”It’s shameful what we’re doing. We’re sitting on our hands,” said Steve Hadley, deputy national security adviser to President George W. Bush. “I know there’s a lot of nervousness those weapons could end up in the wrong hands. … If we keep doing what were doing, sitting on our hands, those weapons will end up in the wrong hands, because they will flow from other sources. … Every reason people gave for not arming has only gotten worse.”

Obama: Iran more than a year away from developing nuclear weapon

130314201141 bts obama in israel talking iran 00004708 story top Obama: Iran more than a year away from developing nuclear weapon

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: says reports of tense relationship with Israeli leader Netanyahu are overblown
NEW: The president says a two-state solution is the answer for Israeli security
NEW: Obama says he has no immediate plans of releasing convicted spy Jonathan Pollard
Obama says he’s been ‘crystal clear’ on Iran’s possession of a

() — Iran is more than a year away from developing a nuclear weapon, but that does not mean the United States will wait for it to become a reality, President said in an interview that aired Thursday on an station.

“I have been crystal clear about my position on Iran possessing a nuclear weapon. That is a red line for us. It is not only something that would be dangerous for Israel. It would be dangerous for the world,” Obama told CNN affiliate Israeli Channel 2 TV before a scheduled visit next week to the country.

“…I’ve also said there is a window — not an infinite period time, but a — where we can resolve this diplomatically.”

Israeli Prime has repeatedly called on Obama to establish a clear line that Iran cannot cross with its nuclear program, if it wants to avoid war.

Obama has resisted such a move, and Netanyahu has shown growing impatience with what he has previously called a lack of clarity by the Obama administration on articulating red lines over Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

U.S. intelligence officials have said they do not believe Iran has decided to develop a nuclear weapon, even as evidence continues to mount that the country is improving its ability to do so.

Iran denies that it aims to build a nuclear bomb, saying that its nuclear program is for energy and medical use.

“Right now, we think that it would take over a year or so for Iran to actually develop a nuclear weapon,” Obama told Channel 2. The interview was conducted Wednesday in Washington, the channel said.

“But obviously, we don’t want to cut it too close. What we are going to do is to continue to engage internationally with Iran.”

Obama also said he believes that the international economic sanctions, some of the “strongest” ever imposed against Tehran, are having an effect on the country.

“They are not yet at the point, I think, where they’ve made a fundamental decision to get right with the international community,” the president said.

“But I do think they are recognizing that there is a severe cost for them to continue down the path they are on and that there’s another door open.”

Obama said his message to Netanyahu during his visit to Israel would be much the same as it has previously been.

“If we can resolve it diplomatically, that’s a more lasting solution. If not, I continue to keep all options on the table,” he said.

When pushed during the interview to define those options, the president responded: “When I say all options are on the table, all options are on the table. The United States obviously has significant capabilities.”

He said the goal is to ensure that Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon that could threaten Israel or trigger a possible arms race in the region.

United States-Israel relationship

Obama’s three-day visit to Israel next week is widely viewed as an opportunity for the president to relay the United States’ commitment to Israel and its security. It is his to Israel since being elected president. He has visited the country three times, the last as a U.S. senator.

The relationship between Netanyahu and Obama has been reportedly tense in large part because of their differences over major issues such as Iran’s nuclear development and the Israeli-Palestinian .

Obama downplayed the tension between the two leaders but conceded that relations between his administration and Netanyahu’s government have not always been sunny.

“There are conservative views both here in the United States and in Israel that may not jibe with mine, particularly when there is an election season coming up,” he said.

During last year’s presidential election, Netanyahu and other Israeli officials painted Obama’s challenger, Mitt Romney, as a stronger proponent of Israel and its security.

Israeli-Palestinian peace

Obama said he plans to meet not only with Netanyahu and Israeli government but also with the Palestinian Authority’s president, Mahmoud Abbas, and its prime minister, Salam Fayyad.

Obama has repeatedly said he backs a two-state solution.

“It’s not a matter of unilateral concessions. It’s a matter of both parties coming together and recognizing that their futures will be inextricably linked and that Israel will be safer, more secure, more prosperous, if the issue can be resolved,” he said.

“And, obviously, Israel can’t resolve it by itself. But it can’t stop trying.”

American spy

Obama also is likely to face questions during his visit about the possible release of convicted spy Jonathan Pollard, a U.S. citizen sentenced to life in prison for giving American military secrets to Israel.

Pollard was a civilian intelligence analyst for the U.S. Navy when he was arrested in 1985 on charges that he provided secrets to the Israelis. He pleaded guilty to one count of espionage.

The Israeli government, which has acknowledged that Pollard was its spy, granted him citizenship and has been lobbying for his release.

But while he is considered a patriot by the Israeli government, Pollard has been turned down for clemency by Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush.

“I have no plans of releasing Jonathan Pollard immediately,” Obama said during the interview.

The president also did not commit to reviewing the case other than to ensure that Pollard, as a U.S. citizen, is “accorded the same kind of review” given to all Americans.

Biden, Netanyahu set tone on Iran for Obama visit to Israel

918a14b32d405ef13a206d2fda6ef95a Biden, Netanyahu set tone on Iran for Obama visit to Israel

(Reuters) – U.S. Vice President insisted on Monday that President Barack Obama was not bluffing about using force to thwart Iran’s if all else fails, even as Israeli Prime called for a “credible ” against Tehran.

Seeking to reassure Israel and its U.S. supporters just weeks before Obama visits the Jewish state, Biden cautioned that all options, including sanctions and diplomacy, must be exhausted to ensure that the international community will be supportive if military action is deemed necessary.

But Netanyahu, speaking moments later via satellite from Jerusalem, used his address to America’s largest pro- to underscore Israeli impatience with U.S. strategy on Iran, a message that could foreshadow his talks with Obama.

“Words alone will not stop Iran. Sanctions alone will not stop Iran. Sanctions must be coupled with a clear and credible military threat if diplomacy and sanctions fail,” Netanyahu said to loud cheers at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee () policy conference in Washington.

Despite the tough rhetoric, the hawkish prime minister gave no indication that Israel was ready to act precipitously at a time when world powers have re-engaged with Iran in new negotiations and he himself is caught up in the delicate task of forging a new government after January’s elections.

Netanyahu’s remarks showed that the latest round of international talks with Iran in Kazakhstan last week had done little to soothe Israeli concerns. It is message he is likely to deliver face-to-face when he meets Obama, with whom he has had a notoriously testy relationship.

Despite that, Biden honed in on Obama’s assertion in his 2012 AIPAC speech that he was ready to use force as a last resort to prevent Iran from getting a . Tehran denies it is seeking one.

“President Barack Obama is not bluffing,” Biden said to a standing ovation. “We are not looking for war. We are looking to and ready to negotiate peacefully, but all options, including military force, are on the table.”

Netanyahu, who has hinted at Israeli plans to strike Iran’s nuclear sites if it deems peaceful options to have failed, said Tehran was moving ever-closer to bomb capability and was using the negotiations to “buy time.”

He has pressed the Obama administration to set strict limits on Tehran’s nuclear development that would trigger a U.S. military response, a demand that has fueled tensions between the two close allies. Obama has resisted setting such an ultimatum.

Biden urged caution to avoid losing international solidarity against Iran, which faces possibly the toughest sanctions ever assembled. “If, God forbid, the need to act occurs, it is critically important for the whole world to know we did everything in our power, we did everything that reasonably could have been expected to avoid any confrontation,” Biden said.

He said there was still time for a diplomatic solution, though he warned “that window is closing.”

After Biden’s speech, AIPAC – which has not always seen eye-to-eye with the Obama administration – praised him for a “a very important statement today that the president is not bluffing.”

Iran will top the agenda on Obama’s first presidential visit to Israel, which Biden said would take place just before the Jewish holiday of Passover, beginning on March 25.

IRAN ‘CLOSER TO THAT

Netanyahu said Iran had not yet crossed a “red line” he set at the United Nations in September, when he said Tehran should not be allowed to amass enough medium-enriched uranium that, if purified further, would be enough to power a single warhead. He gave a rough deadline at the time of spring or summer 2013.

But he told AIPAC: “Iran is getting closer to that red line and it’s putting itself in a position to cross that line very quickly once it decides to do so.” However, Netanyahu stopped short of any explicit threat of Israeli military action.

Netanyahu’s calculus on Iran is complicated by Israel’s unsettled domestic politics. He is still struggling to forge a new coalition government after a surprisingly strong showing by centrist parties in January’s elections.

In Kazakhstan, the United States and five other powers offered Iran modest sanctions relief in return for curbing its most sensitive nuclear work. There was no breakthrough but the sides agreed to further talks in early April.

Netanyahu has insisted that Iran, whose leaders have frequently threatened Israel, is using the negotiations to stall for time to develop a capability. Israel is assumed to be the Middle East’s only nuclear-armed power.

“The latest efforts at conciliation and some kind of agreement with the Iranians have failed,” Republican U.S. Senator John McCain told the audience earlier. “It’s very clear that they are on the path to having a nuclear weapon.”

Obama has repeatedly pledged to keep pressure on Iran, but his refusal to take an even stronger stance has contributed to tense dealings with Netanyahu. Even so, the situation has calmed considerably since Obama addressed AIPAC last year and issued a pointed warning against “loose talk” of war with Iran.

A senior Israeli official said that while the Netanyahu government had hoped for a tougher line at the negotiations by the so-called P5+1 – made up of the United States, China, France, Russia, Britain and Germany – it was resigned to awaiting the results of the next round of talks.

Iran may have lessened Israel’s immediate sense of urgency by turning some of its 20 percent-pure uranium – which is considered to be only a short technical step away from weapons-grade uranium – into fuel rods for a research reactor.

Netanyahu also made clear Israel’s concern about where Syria’s stockpile of and other advanced arms might end up in the midst of civil war.

“As the Syrian regime collapses, the danger of these weapons falling into the hands of terrorist groups is very real. Terror groups such as Hezbollah and al Qaeda are trying to seize these weapons as we speak,” he said. “We have a common interest in preventing them from obtaining these deadly weapons.”

(Editing by Warren Strobel and Christopher Wilson)

Netanyahu says Iran using nuclear talks to “buy time” for bomb

87f33ecef89cb8617af6be402dc9313d Netanyahu says Iran using nuclear talks to buy time for bomb

(Reuters) – Renewed to negotiate curbs on Iran’s disputed nuclear program have backfired by giving it more time to work on building a bomb, Israeli Prime Minister said on Sunday.

His remarks on the inconclusive February 26-27 meeting between Iran and six world powers signaled impatience by Israel, which has threatened to launch preemptive war on its arch-foe, possibly in the coming months, if it deems diplomacy a dead end.

Senior U.S. diplomat Wendy Sherman flew in to brief Israel about the -hosted talks, in which Tehran, which denies seeking nuclear arms, was offered modest relief from sanctions in return for halting mid-level uranium enrichment.

There was no breakthrough. The sides will reconvene in on April 5-6 after holding technical talks in Istanbul.

“My impression from these talks is that the only thing that is gained from them is a buying of time, and through this time-buying Iran intends to continue enriching for an atomic bomb and is indeed getting closer to this goal,” Netanyahu told his cabinet in remarks aired by Israeli media.

Extrapolating from U.N. reports on Iran’s to 20 percent fissile purity, a short technical step from weapons-grade, Netanyahu has set a mid-2013 “red line” for denying the Islamic republic the fuel needed for a first bomb.

The prospect of unilateral Israeli strikes, and the likely wide-ranging by Iran and its , worries Washington, which wants to pursue diplomacy as it winds down costly abroad.

OBAMA VISIT LOOMS

In an attempt to make their proposals more palatable to Tehran, the United States and five other world powers appeared to have softened previous demands in Almaty – for example regarding their requirement that the Iranians ship out their stockpile of the higher-grade uranium.

A senior said that while the Netanyahu government had hoped for a tougher line by the so-called P5+1, it was resigned to awaiting the results of this round of talks.

“At the end of the day, what matters is that the Iranians end their enrichment, whether it’s through shutting down their facilities or through more nuanced technical safeguards,” the official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Reuters.

The official would not comment on how or if the latest diplomacy had affected the readiness of Israel, which is widely assumed to have the region’s only nuclear arsenal, to go to war.

Iran may have warded off that threat by turning some of its 20 percent-pure uranium into fuel rods for a research reactor.

The international standoff and shifting timelines are expected to dominate U.S. President Barack Obama’s trip to Israel later this month. The Israelis demand a tougher posture on Iran from their ally, though it has a hefty military presence in the Gulf and says it is poised to use force as a last resort.

Netanyahu’s skepticism on the Almaty talks clashed with the optimism of Israeli President Shimon Peres, who after meeting Sherman last week said he had “total faith in the Obama administration, in its commitment and its actions in preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons”.

Obama’s Israel visit has been overshadowed by local politics too, given the rightist Netanyahu’s failure so far to build a new coalition government after he narrowly won a January 22 ballot.

Appealing to potential party allies to rally to him in the name of national security, Netanyahu told his cabinet: “To my regret this is not happening, and in the coming days I will continue my efforts to unify and galvanize forces ahead of the major national and international challenges that we face”.

(Writing by Dan Williams; editing by Andrew Roche)

Obama to visit Israel in spring

 Obama to visit Israel in spring

(PhatzNewsRoom / ) — President will visit Israel this spring, though specific dates haven’t been nailed down.

spokesman Jay said Obama discussed the visit in a Jan. 28 with newly re-elected .

As part of the trip, Obama will also travel to the West Bank and Jordan.

Details “will be released at a later time,” Carney said.

Israel’s Channel 10 reported that the trip is scheduled for March 20, reported the Associated Press.

Obama visited Israel as a presidential candidate in 2008, but has not been back as president.

The president and Netanyahu have disputed aspects of Middle East policy. Netanyahu saw his political position weakened after his party did worse than expected in the recent .

Said Carney: “The start of the president’s and the formation of a new offer the opportunity to reaffirm the deep and enduring between the United States and Israel and to discuss the way forward on a broad range of issues of mutual concern, including, of course, Iran and Syria.”

New Israeli government has to tackle security issues

 New Israeli government has to tackle security issues
In this July 6, 2010, file photo, President Obama talks with Benjamin Netanyahu as they walk to Netanyahu’s car outside the of the White House.(Photo: , AP)

Story Highlights

Obama may pressure Israel to make concessions to the Palestinians
Netanyahu has called for the U.S. to set a on Iran’s nuclear program
Analyst: Civil war in ’s nuclear capabilities are Israeli priorities

JERUSALEM — The Israeli government to be cobbled together following Tuesday’s election will face problems such as a rising , high housing costs and food prices.

But security and how to achieve it will remain No. 1, and for that, likely Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will have to decide how best to deal with the other leader who recently won a four-year term: President Obama.

Many Israelis said Obama may pressure Israel to make concessions he claims will bring peace to the region — such as giving up major portions of disputed land to the Palestinians — but Netanyahu believes that will make life less secure for Israel.

“It’s commonly said that second-term presidents can do what they want” because they may feel less accountable to the voters, said Peter Medding, a at the Hebrew University. “But even if Obama isn’t going to run for office in the future, his party will, and it’s not in anyone’s interest to make enemies.”

Israel’s three major televisions stations reported that Netanyahu’s Likud Party emerged as the largest faction according to exit polls, which would give him another four-year term.

But gains by a centrist newcomer party raised the possibility that Netanyahu will be forced to form a broad coalition to take over the government.

Obama and Netanyahu have been at odds. The Israeli prime minister has called for the United States to set a red line over which Iran cannot cross with its nuclear program without facing , and Obama has refused.

Obama has complained that Israel’s stand on settlements is making it difficult to move ahead with peace talks with the Palestinians, and he disclosed recently to a reporter that he did not think Netanyahu knew where Israel’s best interests lie.

Medding said that “too much” is being made about the leaders’ lack of personal chemistry. But with neighbors like Egypt, Syria and the Palestinians in both the and Gaza, and Iran threatening to make a , maintaining friendly relations with the United States will be important.

The civil war in adjoining Syria and Iran’s nuclear capabilities will continue to be at the top of the government’s priority list, according to Eytan Gilboa, a Hebrew University political scientist.

“There is the potential that another government in Syria could be more hostile to Israel” than the regime of Bashar Assad, Gilboa said. Israel’s border with Syria has been almost completely peaceful for decades.

Israel’s goal, the political scientist said, is to prevent Syria’s chemical weapons arsenal from falling into the hands of Islamic extremists, who are trying to wield more influence, especially in Egypt.

Unless the Obama administration brokers a convincing anti-nuclear-weapons agreement with Iran by the summer, Gilboa predicted, “Netanyahu will have to decide” whether or not to strike Iran, with or without U.S. backing.

In an analysis in the left-leaning Al Monitor, journalist Akiva Eldar predicts that Obama will be much less tolerant of Netanyahu’s pro-settlement policies and determination to stop Iranian weapons at all costs.

“Netanyahu knew during his first term that he could still count on Obama to automatically intercept a condemnation of Israel in the (United Nations) Security Council. Not any more,” Eldar said.

“From the day Obama gets sick of us, all he has to do is to instruct the U.S. ambassador to the U.N. to absent himself from the vote,” he said. Next time Obama will encourage European governments “to teach Netanyahu who is stronger.”

A strong Israel, Eldar said, is the one perceived by its Arab neighbors “as a close ally of the world’s strongest power” and not the one “showing off hollow muscles” on campaign billboards.

Medding recalled some of the many instances when previous U.S. and Israeli leaders clashed, and how the U.S-Israeli relationship survived and even thrived.

Tensions arose, for example, between former president George H.W. Bush and former Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir when the U.S. president conditioned the loan guarantees that Israeli requested to help absorb a million new immigrants on an end to settlement activity.

What’s important “are the mutual interests of the two countries, the common values and the common challenges. Personal issues will take second place to the need to make and implement policy together,” Medding said.