May 24, 2013

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

cf1b0995a3b0cc6fa43e04100fb041f2 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances
Lovie Smith had an 81-63 record and a Super to his credit as coach, but he was fired after the team went 10-6 and missed the playoffs after the 2012 season.(Photo: Matt Kartozian, )

Story Highlights

NFL commissioned research project before offseason when no African Americans were hired to prominent leadership jobs
Black coaches rarely get at NFL, college or coordinator level
Report’s author suggests teams be rewarded with draft picks for diverse

(PhatzRadio / ) — An exhaustive study of NFL for confirms what has been widely known about the historical disparity in opportunities for minorities when compared to white counterparts but also reveals a significant pattern for what happens to a of minorities after losing : Typically, they don’t land as NFL coordinators, and none has ever gone on to become a head coach at the major college level.

Such findings are revealed and analyzed in a landmark independent study commissioned by the NFL, a 30-page coaching mobility report titled: Examining Coaching Mobility Trends and Occupational Patterns: Head Coaching Access, Opportunity and the Social Network in Professional and .

The report, obtained by Sports, was researched and produced by Dr. C. Keith Harrison, an associate professor at the University of Central Florida with an extensive background in business management, with support from .

The NFL has been stung by criticism of its hiring practices and the effectiveness of the after no minorities were hired for the eight head coaching vacancies or seven general manager positions this year. Yet maintain that the report wasn’t produced as a reaction to the recent hiring cycle.

The league decided to commission the study in 2011 and provided access to data that provided the foundation for the report that explores patterns extending back to 1963.

“I look at the report as a tool in the tool kit as we think about diversity and inclusion,” Robert Gulliver, the NFL’s executive vice president of human resources and chief diversity officer, told on Wednesday.

Gulliver said that he is taking a “forward-thinking” approach in digesting the research results and recommendations. He said the two most striking elements of the report are the emphasis on the importance of networking socially in career opportunities and the re-affirmation of diversity as crucial to the NFL’s business model.

Said Gulliver, “We are working aggressively to be looking forward.”

Still, Harrison said that it is important to consider the patterns that have existed for decades in order to provide context to the NFL’s diversity goals. “I give the NFL a lot of credit,” Harrison told USA TODAY Sports. “At a time when their brand has so much value and influence, they’ve made the decision to turn the mirror on themselves and say, ‘We can do better.’ ”

Since 1963, 88% of hired for NFL teams were white. That figure is hardly surprising when considering that Art Shell became the first African-American head coach of the modern era with the Oakland Raiders in 1989. Of the 17 people of color hired as since 1989, 12 were hired since the Rooney Rule — requiring that at least one minority candidate is interviewed for head coaching vacancies — was instituted in 2003.

Other findings from the report, however, provide oft-overlooked context:

Since 1980, 30 former coaches accepted similar positions at the major college level. All were white.
None of the six African-Americans who have held the position as interim coach in the NFL became a head coach.
After losing their first NFL head coaching job, 53 were re-hired as head coaches. Of that number, 46 were white and seven were minorities.
Of the 42 who landed as offensive and defensive coordinators after losing their first head coaching job, 40 were white. Two minorities became coordinators; the overwhelming majority of minority coaches landed as position coaches.

“What surprised me is, who gets a second chance? A third chance?” said Harrison.

Neither of the minority head coaches fired after last season — Romeo Crennel and Lovie Smith — landed a new job, though Crennel has been a head coach for two franchises (Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs).

“Instead of looking at that as an anecdote,” Harrison said, “look at the findings and ask, ‘Is that anecdotal?’ ”

Smith, who was fired by the Bears after winning 10 games in 2012 but missing the playoffs, is seeking another head coaching job rather than a coordinator’s position, a person familiar with his thinking told USA TODAY Sports.

He’s hardly the only ex-head coach not to get another opportunity. Former Baltimore Ravens coach Brian Billick, who is white, also hasn’t had another head-coaching job despite winning a after the 2000 season.

Yet four of the coaches fired after last season — Andy Reid, Norv Turner, Ken Whisenhunt and Pat Shurmur — were quickly hired by new teams. Reid is the Kansas City Chiefs head coach; the others are offensive coordinators.

With a growing emphasis on offense in the NFL, some view the defensive backgrounds of an overwhelming majority of the African Americans have been head coaches as a factor working against them on the market.

The trends have ignited debate on the effectiveness of the Rooney Rule. Gulliver expressed disappointment with the shutout of minority head coach and GM candidates during the most recent hiring cycle but doesn’t believe there’s a need for an overhaul of the Rooney Rule. “I take the long view,” he said. “While this year didn’t produce the diversity we expected, we have to look at the impact of the Rooney Rule over the last decade.”

Gulliver said that he aims to have the “spirit” of the Rooney Rule applied to all positions in the NFL and will continue to tweak diversity initiatives. Next week, the NFL will stage a career development symposium for 64 aspiring coach and executives at Penn’s Wharton School of Business, re-launching a series that was discontinued several years ago.

In the meantime, recommendations from Harrison and his team included:

Comprehensive incentive and disincentive models, which would reward teams with draft picks for noteworthy diversity hires and strongly punish teams financially for not reaching goals.
A more transparent hiring process, which could involve case studies and a “Transparent Performance Scale” that outlines subjective and objective criteria used in the hiring decision.
Efforts to expand social networking that would allow candidates and decision-makers to interact, including those on the college level. The report proposes that the NFL and NCAA consider holding a joint event each year for that purpose.

Gulliver is open-minded to some of the suggestions, including the efforts aimed at social networking. He was non-committal when asked specifically about the incentive and disincentive models.

Yet while expressing his expectation that the NFL’s 32 teams will adhere to principles of diversity — which is open to questions stemming from the most recent hiring cycle for head coaches and GMs — he is clearly embracing the dialogue.

“Diversity is one of our core values,” Gulliver said. “We have an opportunity to do more. I sense that the clubs will continue on this path.”

***

Follow Jarrett Bell on Twitter @JarrettBell

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances is a post from: PhatzRadio.com

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

cf1b0995a3b0cc6fa43e04100fb041f2 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances
Lovie Smith had an 81-63 record and a Super to his credit as coach, but he was fired after the team went 10-6 and missed the playoffs after the 2012 season.(Photo: Matt Kartozian, )

Story Highlights

commissioned research project before offseason when no African Americans were hired to prominent leadership jobs
Black coaches rarely get at NFL, college or coordinator level
Report’s author suggests teams be rewarded with draft picks for diverse

(PhatzRadio / ) — An exhaustive study of NFL for confirms what has been widely known about the historical disparity in opportunities for minorities when compared to white counterparts but also reveals a significant pattern for what happens to a of minorities after losing : Typically, they don’t land as NFL coordinators, and none has ever gone on to become a head coach at the major college level.

Such findings are revealed and analyzed in a landmark independent study commissioned by the NFL, a 30-page coaching mobility report titled: Examining Coaching and Occupational Patterns: Head Coaching Access, Opportunity and the Social Network in Professional and .

The report, obtained by , was researched and produced by Dr. C. Keith Harrison, an associate professor at the University of Central Florida with an extensive background in business management, with support from .

The NFL has been stung by criticism of its hiring practices and the effectiveness of the after no minorities were hired for the eight head coaching vacancies or seven general manager positions this year. Yet maintain that the report wasn’t produced as a reaction to the recent hiring cycle.

The league decided to commission the study in 2011 and provided access to data that provided the foundation for the report that explores patterns extending back to 1963.

“I look at the report as a tool in the tool kit as we think about diversity and inclusion,” Robert Gulliver, the NFL’s executive vice president of human resources and chief diversity officer, told Sports on Wednesday.

Gulliver said that he is taking a “forward-thinking” approach in digesting the research results and recommendations. He said the two most striking elements of the report are the emphasis on the importance of networking socially in career opportunities and the re-affirmation of diversity as crucial to the NFL’s business model.

Said Gulliver, “We are working aggressively to be looking forward.”

Still, Harrison said that it is important to consider the patterns that have existed for decades in order to provide context to the NFL’s diversity goals. “I give the NFL a lot of credit,” Harrison told USA TODAY Sports. “At a time when their brand has so much value and influence, they’ve made the decision to turn the mirror on themselves and say, ‘We can do better.’ ”

Since 1963, 88% of head coaches hired for NFL teams were white. That figure is hardly surprising when considering that Art Shell became the first African-American head coach of the modern era with the Oakland Raiders in 1989. Of the 17 people of color hired as head coaches since 1989, 12 were hired since the Rooney Rule — requiring that at least one minority candidate is interviewed for head coaching vacancies — was instituted in 2003.

Other findings from the report, however, provide oft-overlooked context:

Since 1980, 30 former coaches accepted similar positions at the major college level. All were white.
None of the six African-Americans who have held the position as interim coach in the NFL became a head coach.
After losing their first NFL head coaching job, 53 were re-hired as head coaches. Of that number, 46 were white and seven were minorities.
Of the 42 who landed as offensive and defensive coordinators after losing their first head coaching job, 40 were white. Two minorities became coordinators; the overwhelming majority of minority coaches landed as position coaches.

“What surprised me is, who gets a second chance? A third chance?” said Harrison.

Neither of the minority head coaches fired after last season — Romeo Crennel and Lovie Smith — landed a new job, though Crennel has been a head coach for two franchises (Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs).

“Instead of looking at that as an anecdote,” Harrison said, “look at the findings and ask, ‘Is that anecdotal?’ ”

Smith, who was fired by the Bears after winning 10 games in 2012 but missing the playoffs, is seeking another head coaching job rather than a coordinator’s position, a person familiar with his thinking told USA TODAY Sports.

He’s hardly the only ex-head coach not to get another opportunity. Former Baltimore Ravens coach Brian Billick, who is white, also hasn’t had another head-coaching job despite winning a Super Bowl after the 2000 season.

Yet four of the coaches fired after last season — Andy Reid, Norv Turner, Ken Whisenhunt and Pat Shurmur — were quickly hired by new teams. Reid is the Kansas City Chiefs head coach; the others are offensive coordinators.

With a growing emphasis on offense in the NFL, some view the defensive backgrounds of an overwhelming majority of the African Americans have been head coaches as a factor working against them on the market.

The trends have ignited debate on the effectiveness of the Rooney Rule. Gulliver expressed disappointment with the shutout of minority head coach and GM candidates during the most recent hiring cycle but doesn’t believe there’s a need for an overhaul of the Rooney Rule. “I take the long view,” he said. “While this year didn’t produce the diversity we expected, we have to look at the impact of the Rooney Rule over the last decade.”

Gulliver said that he aims to have the “spirit” of the Rooney Rule applied to all positions in the NFL and will continue to tweak diversity initiatives. Next week, the NFL will stage a career development symposium for 64 aspiring coach and executives at Penn’s Wharton School of Business, re-launching a series that was discontinued several years ago.

In the meantime, recommendations from Harrison and his team included:

Comprehensive incentive and disincentive models, which would reward teams with draft picks for noteworthy diversity hires and strongly punish teams financially for not reaching goals.
A more transparent hiring process, which could involve case studies and a “Transparent Performance Scale” that outlines subjective and objective criteria used in the hiring decision.
Efforts to expand social networking that would allow candidates and decision-makers to interact, including those on the college level. The report proposes that the NFL and NCAA consider holding a joint event each year for that purpose.

Gulliver is open-minded to some of the suggestions, including the efforts aimed at social networking. He was non-committal when asked specifically about the incentive and disincentive models.

Yet while expressing his expectation that the NFL’s 32 teams will adhere to principles of diversity — which is open to questions stemming from the most recent hiring cycle for head coaches and GMs — he is clearly embracing the dialogue.

“Diversity is one of our core values,” Gulliver said. “We have an opportunity to do more. I sense that the clubs will continue on this path.”

***

Follow Jarrett Bell on Twitter @JarrettBell

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances is a post from: PhatzRadio.com

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

cf1b0995a3b0cc6fa43e04100fb041f2 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances
Lovie Smith had an 81-63 record and a Super to his credit as coach, but he was fired after the team went 10-6 and missed the playoffs after the 2012 season.(Photo: Matt Kartozian, )

Story Highlights

commissioned research project before offseason when no African Americans were hired to prominent leadership jobs
Black coaches rarely get at NFL, college or coordinator level
Report’s author suggests teams be rewarded with draft picks for diverse

(PhatzRadio / ) — An exhaustive study of NFL hiring practices for confirms what has been widely known about the historical disparity in opportunities for minorities when compared to white counterparts but also reveals a significant pattern for what happens to a of minorities after losing coaching jobs: Typically, they don’t land as NFL coordinators, and none has ever gone on to become a head coach at the major college level.

Such findings are revealed and analyzed in a landmark independent study commissioned by the NFL, a 30-page coaching mobility report titled: Examining Coaching Mobility Trends and Occupational Patterns: Head Coaching Access, Opportunity and the Social Network in Professional and .

The report, obtained by Sports, was researched and produced by Dr. C. , an associate professor at the with an extensive background in business management, with support from .

The NFL has been stung by criticism of its hiring practices and the effectiveness of the Rooney Rule after no minorities were hired for the eight head coaching vacancies or seven general this year. Yet maintain that the report wasn’t produced as a reaction to the recent hiring cycle.

The league decided to commission the study in 2011 and provided access to data that provided the foundation for the report that explores patterns extending back to 1963.

“I look at the report as a tool in the tool kit as we think about diversity and inclusion,” Robert Gulliver, the NFL’s executive vice president of human resources and chief diversity officer, told USA TODAY Sports on Wednesday.

Gulliver said that he is taking a “forward-thinking” approach in digesting the research results and recommendations. He said the two most striking elements of the report are the emphasis on the importance of networking socially in career opportunities and the re-affirmation of diversity as crucial to the NFL’s business model.

Said Gulliver, “We are working aggressively to be looking forward.”

Still, Harrison said that it is important to consider the patterns that have existed for decades in order to provide context to the NFL’s diversity goals. “I give the NFL a lot of credit,” Harrison told USA TODAY Sports. “At a time when their brand has so much value and influence, they’ve made the decision to turn the mirror on themselves and say, ‘We can do better.’ ”

Since 1963, 88% of head coaches hired for NFL teams were white. That figure is hardly surprising when considering that Art Shell became the first African-American head coach of the modern era with the Oakland Raiders in 1989. Of the 17 people of color hired as head coaches since 1989, 12 were hired since the Rooney Rule — requiring that at least one minority candidate is interviewed for head coaching vacancies — was instituted in 2003.

Other findings from the report, however, provide oft-overlooked context:

Since 1980, 30 former NFL head coaches accepted similar positions at the major college level. All were white.
None of the six African-Americans who have held the position as interim coach in the NFL became a head coach.
After losing their first NFL head coaching job, 53 were re-hired as head coaches. Of that number, 46 were white and seven were minorities.
Of the 42 who landed as offensive and defensive coordinators after losing their first head coaching job, 40 were white. Two minorities became coordinators; the overwhelming majority of minority coaches landed as position coaches.

“What surprised me is, who gets a second chance? A third chance?” said Harrison.

Neither of the minority head coaches fired after last season — Romeo Crennel and Lovie Smith — landed a new job, though Crennel has been a head coach for two franchises (Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs).

“Instead of looking at that as an anecdote,” Harrison said, “look at the findings and ask, ‘Is that anecdotal?’ ”

Smith, who was fired by the Bears after winning 10 games in 2012 but missing the playoffs, is seeking another head coaching job rather than a coordinator’s position, a person familiar with his thinking told USA TODAY Sports.

He’s hardly the only ex-head coach not to get another opportunity. Former Baltimore Ravens coach Brian Billick, who is white, also hasn’t had another head-coaching job despite winning a Super Bowl after the 2000 season.

Yet four of the coaches fired after last season — Andy Reid, Norv Turner, Ken Whisenhunt and Pat Shurmur — were quickly hired by new teams. Reid is the Kansas City Chiefs head coach; the others are offensive coordinators.

With a growing emphasis on offense in the NFL, some view the defensive backgrounds of an overwhelming majority of the African Americans have been head coaches as a factor working against them on the market.

The trends have ignited debate on the effectiveness of the Rooney Rule. Gulliver expressed disappointment with the shutout of minority head coach and GM candidates during the most recent hiring cycle but doesn’t believe there’s a need for an overhaul of the Rooney Rule. “I take the long view,” he said. “While this year didn’t produce the diversity we expected, we have to look at the impact of the Rooney Rule over the last decade.”

Gulliver said that he aims to have the “spirit” of the Rooney Rule applied to all positions in the NFL and will continue to tweak diversity initiatives. Next week, the NFL will stage a career development symposium for 64 aspiring coach and executives at Penn’s Wharton School of Business, re-launching a series that was discontinued several years ago.

In the meantime, recommendations from Harrison and his team included:

Comprehensive incentive and disincentive models, which would reward teams with draft picks for noteworthy diversity hires and strongly punish teams financially for not reaching goals.
A more transparent hiring process, which could involve case studies and a “Transparent Performance Scale” that outlines subjective and objective criteria used in the hiring decision.
Efforts to expand social networking that would allow candidates and decision-makers to interact, including those on the college level. The report proposes that the NFL and NCAA consider holding a joint event each year for that purpose.

Gulliver is open-minded to some of the suggestions, including the efforts aimed at social networking. He was non-committal when asked specifically about the incentive and disincentive models.

Yet while expressing his expectation that the NFL’s 32 teams will adhere to principles of diversity — which is open to questions stemming from the most recent hiring cycle for head coaches and GMs — he is clearly embracing the dialogue.

“Diversity is one of our core values,” Gulliver said. “We have an opportunity to do more. I sense that the clubs will continue on this path.”

***

Follow Jarrett Bell on Twitter @JarrettBell

Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances is a post from: PhatzRadio.com

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances  Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

 Sports Diversity study: Black head coaches rarely get second chances

College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan

cfa4dc0d3035f896cfa2cb2026887e82 College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan

( News / ) in and basketball will be held directly accountable for violations by members of their coaching staff in radically that is expected to be adopted Tuesday by the Division 1 Board of Directors, according to a document obtained by .

The nine-page document outlines some specifics in the NCAA’s new four-tier penalty structure, which would take effect immediately and replace the current rigid categories of secondary and major violations, and addresses several kinds of violations in football and men’s basketball that can lead to the suspension of a head coach.

One example the document alludes to is the violations involving the recruitment of Nate Miles, in which Calhoun “failed to alert the compliance staff and administration of possible between the agent/booster” and prospect. Under the new structure, penalties could have included a suspension or other restrictions for Calhoun.

DOCUMENT: NCAA enforcement proposal

And the primary message for is that ignorance will no longer be acceptable as a defense.

The document reads, “A head coach is presumed responsible for major/Level I and Level II violations (e.g. , recruiting ) occurring within his or her program unless the coach can show that he or she promoted an atmosphere of compliance and monitored his or her staff.”

Any coach who is found responsible for the most serious violations under those guidelines will be subject to an entire-season suspension, according to the document.

The new guidelines also state that beginning Aug. 1, 2013, men’s can be suspended for violations ranging from illegal contact with recruits, giving team gear to prospects or impermissible benefits given by third parties if the coach
knows the third party has a relationship with the recruit.

can face suspension for violations such as holding 7-on-7 on campus or providing written scholarship offers before Aug. 1 of a prospect’s senior year.

In both cases, the head coach could be suspended for violations committed by his assistants.

“It’s a tougher penalty structure, there’s no doubt about it,” Southern California athletic director Pat Haden said in an interview conducted prior to ’ acquisition of the document. “The point is, for head coaches — and this goes for any sport — you have this responsibility. You need to be constantly vigilant and you need to be constantly coaching your coaches about how important it is to play by the rules.”

Haden is a member of the 20-person working group that forwarded the to the NCAA Board of Directors.

Head coaches can avoid penalties for violations committed by their staff if they can document vigilance about potential red flags. For example, the document states that a head coach should ask about how unofficial visits are paid for and advises head coaches to ask their assistants if they suspect a third party or handler is involved in the recruitment.

The document also makes clear that elite prospects should create “a heightened sense of awareness,” leading to closer monitoring by head coaches and compliance staffs.

Under the new rules structure, coaches will be advised to assign a liaison to the compliance office, constantly document procedures for following rules and make clear they are paying attention to red flags.

“A lack of immediate action by the head coach will be a significant factor in determining whether the head coach met the obligations” to avoid suspensions, the document states.

College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan is a post from: PhatzRadio.com

help College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
009b06f38695de0d0d383c24bf894a9e College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
help College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
1df4af0e6e8f900d91267ca68edfd555 College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
help College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
7f14bbf0b0c13fca3af83ff82c0b71ca College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
help College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
7c7d24e16ce9807a51c9caae4d336d4f College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
help College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan
325472601571f31e1bf00674c368d335 College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan

325472601571f31e1bf00674c368d335 College Sports: Document details new NCAA enforcement plan

CFL News: CFL 2012 West Division preview

f32b2d1db111830133bd155afbc16e22 CFL News: CFL 2012 West Division preview
B.C. Lions slotback Geroy Simon (81), shown in this file photo holding up the Grey Cup, is just 67 yards shy of becoming the ’s all- in . (Ryan Remiorz/Canadian Press) B.C. Lions slotback Geroy Simon (81), shown in this file photo holding up the Grey Cup, is just 67 yards shy of becoming the CFL’s all- in . (Ryan Remiorz/Canadian Press)

There is a distinct difference between the haves and the have-nots in the CFL for 2012, especially in the west.

Here’s a rundown, and our picks (remember, I don’t own my own house). Please give us yours below, and make sure the wins across the league add up to 72.

1. B.C. Lions

2011 record: 11-7

(Our 2011 prediction: 12-6)

Since Week 8 of last season, the Lions have lost exactly once. Of all the stats to think about, that may be the most significant as it shows the 99th Grey Cup champs found what they needed to re-establish themselves as .

These Lions, with a new head tamer in Mike , will not go 16-2, but they have more than enough new blood to match with emerging talent and old cats to win this division again and make it to the 100th Grey Cup in Toronto.

Half the clubs in the CFL have new , but the difference in Vancouver is old hasn’t gone away, he’s merely generally managing upstairs in the office where he’ll always be available for the new guy to swap ideas with and get advice.

(Grey Cup , 2nd best stats in the league, etc.) returns at quarterback with a solid backup in Mike Reilly and yet another of those Wally finds in Tom DeMarco (save your emails, no QB should be called Thomas).

Lulay has a bevy of pass catchers, including Geroy Simon (who in 67 yards becomes the best ever, passing ), , Shawn Gore and Foster.

, who went from junior find to stud in half a season, carries the and a solid O-Line adds Patrick Kabongo, though they start with some short-term injury worries.

All purpose star Tim Brown (2,017 yards from all sources) is ready to go.

Big losses on defence are Solomon Elimimian, the middle linebacker who went south to the (Adam Bighill takes over), plus iconic lineman Brent Johnson who retired. Aaron Hunt left for Montreal.

Keron Williams and Khalif Mitchell pick up the slack as six guys will rotate through the four DL spots.

Lin-J Shell and Byron Parker came in from Toronto to boost an already good secondary.

No slow start this year. They’ll hit the ground running and keep going.

2012 prediction: 13-5

2. Calgary Stampeders

2011 record: 11-7

(Our 2011 prediction: 12-6)

Henry Burris? Gone. Joffrey Reynolds? Gone. Ken-Yon Rambo? Gone. Geoff Tisdale? Gone.

You might think with a brand new sheriff, two deputies, schoolmarm, bartender and dance hall girl with a heart of gold, this 2012 cow town group would be in a bit of upheaval.

Not really. It’s actually been awful quiet out there in Calgary, where the big boss, John Hufnagel, has been retooling since about the middle of last season, making sure the White Stallions will be right in the race this time around.

The big question is Drew Tate, who took over from Burris as starting pivot in week 17 last year and played well. But 158 passes does not a CFL star make, even with a 63.9 per cent completion rate and a cool back story.

Tate looks like the real thing, but it’s going to be interesting to see how he does now the other clubs have enough film to work with. Kevin Glenn came in from Hamilton to be a more-than-adequate back-up.

It helps to have such a strong receiving unit with Arjei Franklin, Johnny Forzani, Anthony Parker, Jabari Arthur and Chris Bauman complimenting stars Nik Lewis and Romby Bryant.

If Jon Cornish stays healthy, it says here, he’s going to be a revelation at running back, replacing Reynolds. He got the job in week 13 and rumbled with it for a 7.3 yard average totalling 863 yards.

Cornish will challenge Montreal’s Brandon Whittaker for top rusher in the league this year and will be the first Canadian over 1,000 yards since Orville Lee, back in 1998.

Defensively, the Stamps were deep enough they could trade DB Tisdale out and cut Johnnie Dixon. Fred Bennett, in from the NFL, had two official (three actual) picks in exhibition, so he’s a great addition to play with Brandon Smith and the rest of the crew.

Juwan Simpson, Malik Jackson, Stanley Bryant, Joe Lobendahn in from Winnipeg (small injury to start the year) – the defence is going to be fine.

Keep an eye on Canadian Keenan MacDougall as he works his way into the backfield.

Stamps will be competitive all season long.

2012 prediction: 11-7

3. Edmonton Eskimos

2011 record: 11-7

(Our 2011 prediction: 4-14)

It’s Eric Tillman’s world and we’re all living in the other one.

That’s the general opinion out in Oil Country after QB Ricky Ray (one team, nine seasons, two Grey Cups) was traded by the GM to Toronto for Steven Jyles (five teams, no cups) as a way to keep enough money in the budget to make moves that can improve the Eskimos.

So we find out now if Tillman is A) Way smarter than the rest of us, or B) Dumber than a prairie dog who moves into an open lot with a “Future home of Walmart” sign on it.

Let’s assume for a moment that Jyles does a fine job. He’ll have Fred Stamps and Adarius Bowman, plus free agents Gregg Carr and Matt Carter to throw to, and that’s not a bad group.

Jerome Messam took his 1,057 yard rushing season south to the NFL, leaving an intriguing battle between Calvin McCarty, the guy who lost his job, and Hugh Charles, who was no longer needed in Saskatchewan.

The offensive line allowed a league-worst tie 46 sacks last season, and that’s not going to help if they can’t improve. First pick Austin Pasztor is trying his luck in the NFL.

Grant Shaw, part of the Ray trade, and the fabulously named Swayze Waters (imagine the headlines!) are still fighting for the kicking job, and either has to be better than last year’s awful effort by the departed Damon Duval.

Edmonton put an excellent defence out for head coach Kavis Reed, and that was the key reason for the big turnaround to 11 wins.

Rod Davis and Mark Restelli have gone, but there are great players everywhere, including DB Wheldon Brown, linebacker J.C. Sherritt and his new partner of just a week Clint Kent (what was Winnipeg thinking?).

Don “Donny O” Oramasionwu has joined Marcus Howard and Rashad Jeanty on the line. The latter is back after six years in the NFL.

The Eskimos will be in practically every game, but they aren’t going to win nearly as many.

2012 prediction: 7-11

4. Saskatchewan Roughriders

2011 record: 5-13

(Our 2011 prediction: 9-9)

Solid quarterback Darian Durant spent so much time watching last year’s debacle from his butt that GM Brendan “Untouchable” Taman set out to rebuild his offensive line.

There are five new faces starting there, with centre Dominic Picard (Toronto), guards Brendon LaBatte (Winnipeg) and Ben Heenan (first draft pick), and tackles Chris Patrick (Toronto) and Xavier Fulton (Edmonton).

If Durant can get some time, he’ll have strong receivers in Chris Getzlaf and Weston Dressler, plus Efrem Hill and the returning Rob Bagg, whose knee is now healed after missing last season.

Backup pivot is J.T. O’Sullivan, the former 49ers starter from the NFL.

Oh, there’s also a new coach. He’s Corey Chamblin, the former defensive coordinator from Hamilton, and his big problem is how to find someone to run the ball so all those guys above don’t spend 90 per cent of their time pass blocking – a recipe for disaster.

No run. No win.

Enter Kory Sheets, who came north from the NFL where he played six games for the 49ers three years ago. He can go over, around or through a tackler.

Chris Milo missed just one field goal in 22 tries last year after taking over the job.

You always worry when a GM says a part of the team is a work in progress. That’s what he called the defensive backfield. And the linebackers.

Odell Willis was voted out of Winnipeg and he’s in to play defensive end with Brent Hawkins (injured in 2011). Shomari Williams leads the linebackers. Tristan Jackson and Craig Butler key the backfield.

Taman says there’s going to be “some bumps and bruises” along the way.

Here’s some good news: This club will not go 0-10 against West rivals this season. They’ll beat Edmonton once.

2012 prediction: 4-14

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NHL: Flyers coach Laviolette fined after calling Pens coach’s move ‘gutless’

bddba0f6a63e51210d9a4552693f8bb2 NHL: Flyers coach Laviolette fined after calling Pens coach’s move ‘gutless’
Laviolette argues a call with referee Stephane Auger #15 during the game against the at the Center on February 18, 2012 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
(February 17, 2012 – Photo by / North America)

PHILADELPHIA (AP) — Flyers coach was fined $10,000 Monday after calling out counterpart for sending out his checking line late in Philadelphia’s 6-3 win at Pittsburgh on Sunday.

Penguins assistant Tony Granato, who stepped on the top of the side boards and in between the two , was also fined $2,500.

The incident occurred at 18:57 of the third period. Fine money will go to the NHL Foundation.

Laviolette was upset that the Penguins’ fourth line took a shift shortly after ’s empty-net goal concluded the scoring.

During the shift, Penguins forward leveled Flyers center Daniel Briere shortly after the ensuing , starting a chain of events that included Laviolette smashing a stick over the glass.

“Those guys hadn’t been out there in 12 minutes,” Laviolette said in his postgame press conference. “It’s a gutless move by their coach. It’s gutless.”

Bylsma didn’t quite see it that way, claiming Vitale’s shot on Briere was clean, unlike the crosscheck Pittsburgh star received from Brayden Schenn shortly after ’s second goal of the game pulled the Penguins within 5-3 late in the third period.

“It’s clearly a cheap shot,” Bylsma said. “It’s clearly a guy targeting a player that was well after the whistle.”

Crosby, who has missed all but 19 games this season due to concussion-like symptoms, agreed.

“It’s pretty cheap,” Crosby said. “He skates 10 feet in between the whistle. I don’t know. If that’s a sign of what’s to come it’s going to be a pretty tough .”

One that won’t even start until the teams meet again in the regular- next Saturday.

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NFL Meetings: Redskins, Rams still basking in glow of megadeal for No. 2 pick

ff98df30e77a55d26732e60feab40c99 NFL Meetings: Redskins, Rams still basking in glow of megadeal for No. 2 pick
Quarterbacks Andrew Luck of Stanford and III of meet during the 2012 at on February 26, 2012 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
(February 25, 2012 – Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images North America)

(PhatzRadio / SI) , Fla. — Musings, observations and the from the third and final day of the ’s annual meeting at The

• If there really is any chance the pass on Andrew Luck at No. 1 and jump aboard the speeding Robert Griffin III bandwagon — and call me unconvinced when it comes to the possibility of Indy calling that particular audible — don’t weep for the Redskins at No. 2. said they’ll be fine either way, with or without Griffin, the player No. 6 Washington ostensibly thought it was getting when it shipped three first-round picks and a second-rounder to St. Louis for the right to move up four slots in the draft.

Sure, the Redskins’ crush on the multi-talented Griffin has been showing for a while now, but it’s not as if Shanahan will consider himself out of luck if his next starting quarterback is named Luck. Not in the least. In fact, if you look up the phrase “win-win situation” in the dictionary (or Wikipedia?), there’s a picture of Shanahan grinning like a Cheshire cat.

“That’s a decision, when you get to the second pick, you’ve got to feel great about both guys,” Shanahan said at Wednesday morning’s NFC media breakfast. “There can’t be any, ‘Oh, I hope I get this guy, I hope I get that guy,’ because you don’t know what’s going to happen. You know what’s reported, but you just don’t know, especially with this process. But when we did move up to that position, we had to feel great about both of them before we gave up what we gave up.”

At that point I interjected and asked Shanahan if he still felt that way even though Griffin has so many obvious athletic gifts, and is thought to be a better fit in Shanahan’s offense, which calls for the quarterback to be mobile and able to make plays outside of the pocket and on the run? After all, Griffin has been known to leap tall buildings in a single bound, or something like that.

“I say both of them [fit], because they’re both very athletic,” Shanahan said. “You take a guy who’s 6-4 and 240, and can run a 4.6 40, that guy can move pretty good. And obviously with Robert, who can run 4.4 or under, usually guys that are that fast can’t throw. He can do both.”

But as happy as Shanahan is with life right now, the next table I visited after his was the one new Rams head coach Jeff Fisher sat at. And if anything, Fisher is even giddier over the outcome of the NFL’s deal of the century, even though he’s a notorious low talker and the acoustics of his mustache tend to muffle some of the excitement in his voice.

The Rams and Fisher knew they were sitting on a gold mine with this year’s No. 2 pick, of course, but they didn’t know it was the mother lode.

“We had some kind of idea,” Fisher said. “We felt like it was going to be valued, just from a need standpoint. And it was the timing. It was the perfect storm of the need and the player available. It’s probably highly unlikely to ever happen again.”

Again, I love the Redskins’ deal for the No. 2 pick, because after trying to win with Donovan McNabb, Rex Grossman and John Beck in his first two seasons in Washington, Shanahan needed to get bold and find his quarterback. Going the stop-gap route got him to 11-21 in 2010-11, and another year of that might have resulted in him being asked to turn in his key card and surrender his parking spot at Redskins Park. Washington’s blockbuster was just the latest example of how much the NFL has become a quarterback’s league. Without one, you have almost no chance.

“The Super Bowls that I’ve been involved with, with Steve Young, with John Elway, both were franchise quarterbacks,” Shanahan said. “They can make plays when everything breaks down. And if somebody can do that, then you’ve got an opportunity, once you get to the playoffs, to do something special. Now, can you still win without one? Sure you can. But you’d better be pretty special.”

Be it Griffin or Luck, the Redskins suddenly love their position at the game’s most important position. Maybe no one in the NFL feels better about themselves these days. Other than, you know, the Rams.

• Listening to Fisher, it certainly sounds like the post-Gregg Williams version of the Rams coaching staff is going to be a cumulative effort in regards to the now-vacant duties. Longtime defensive assistant Dave McGinnis will likely handle the game-day defensive play-calling, but I think Fisher will be very much involved on that side of the ball as well, especially early in the season.

“I called plays as a defensive coordinator for a number of years,” Fisher said. “I wouldn’t have any difficulty [doing it this season], but again, we’re going to get this thing resolved. It will be done by committee and that won’t be a problem either. Coach McGinnis is not necessarily coaching a position, so he’ll have plenty of time to help out.”

• I still find it hard to believe the Rams and Williams had no inkling of what was ahead in terms of the Saints bounty scandal until shortly before the league went public with its investigation on March 2, but Fisher said that’s exactly the case.

“We were completely unaware of [the league's investigation until Williams'] presence was requested in New York,” Fisher said. “When the league requested him to make a visit [to the league office], he was unaware of what it was about.”

Fisher has already said the obvious, that the Rams wouldn’t have hired Williams if they knew he was in line for a possible league suspension. And he said his contact with the mastermind of the Saints’ has been minimal since the NFL suspended Williams’ indefinitely.

“The league required him to vacate the building,” Fisher said. “I hope I’d be able to talk to him, because we’ve talked over the years. But I understand, because when a player is suspended for disciplinary reasons, there is no contact. He doesn’t get a chance to look at the game plan or study anything. So there’ll be no -related contact.

“I do hope we can maybe have some input on the restoration process that Gregg’s going through, because he is extremely remorseful right now, so he’s willing to help however he can. However he can get the message out.”

• We all know the failures of Butch Davis, Bobby Petrino, Steve Spurrier and Nick Saban when they jumped from the college coaching ranks to the NFL. But in Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll, the two most recent collegiate winners turned pro coaches, both led their teams to NFC West titles and playoff berths in their first year on the job. It makes me wonder what category new Bucs head coach Greg Schiano will fall into: Early winner in the NFL or a guy who in retrospect will wind up being more comfortable and successful on a college campus?

My hunch is that Schiano will do just fine in the league, even if he doesn’t match the first-year production of Harbaugh or Carroll.

“I’m not naive, this is a win-now league. I got that part,” said Schiano, making his NFL annual meeting debut, of sorts. “But that has trickled down to the colleges, too, where you see are getting fired after two years. That’s unheard of. But when you look at what coaches are getting paid, that’s changed a lot, too. So with everything, as the stakes rise, [so do expectations].”

Interestingly, Schiano hired Butch Davis as his special assistant to the head coach, and part of Davis’ job is to help the Bucs’ new head coach avoid the college-to-pro pitfalls that in part doomed Davis during his almost four-year stint as the Browns head coach (24-35 from 2001 to 2004).

“One of the reasons I asked Butch to come with me is I wanted him to be able to kind of point out, ‘Hey, careful, I made that . This worked for us in Cleveland, let’s do that.’ I think a lot’s made of college coaches who haven’t done well, but if you look at it, there’s a lot of coaches who haven’t done well. There’s a high turnover rate in the business, and you can throw the college coaches in there as well. But I understand the reasons why people would say it. It is different.”

• After hearing Schiano talk up Trent Richardson and chide LeGarrette Blount for his fumbling issues, I might have to re-think my conclusion that Tampa Bay won’t go for the Alabama running back with its No. 5 pick in the first round. Not that coaches always speak the truth at these meetings in regards to their draft intentions, but still.

“I’ve studied a lot of tape on him, he’s a very talented guy,” said Schiano of Richardson, who he went on to call “a special talent.” “You can’t argue with the production. One of the real barometers is production. Was he able to be consistently productive, and Trent has done it in what’s arguably the toughest league in college football.”

On the flip side, Schiano more than once mentioned the topic of Blount’s fumbles, characterizing the 2011 Bucs as “one of the sloppiest teams with ball security I’ve ever seen.” Blount fumbled five times last season, losing three of those, and all five of his bobbles came in the midst of Tampa Bay’s season-ending 10-game losing streak, the slide that prompted the Bucs to fire Raheem Morris and hire Schiano.

“I think LeGarrette has tons of ability,” Schiano said. “[But] no one who touches the football will get touches if they don’t protect the football. That is one of our core covenants — the ball. It’s so important they named the game after it. We make a big deal about it.”

Big enough of a deal to bypass a much-needed talent like LSU cornerback Morris Claiborne and select Richardson in the No. 5 slot? Maybe. I get the feeling when it comes to the running game, the all-business Schiano, who once rode Ray Rice to a turnaround season at Rutgers, means what he says.

• Here’s one potentially sticky ramification of the NFL going to the same overtime format both in the regular season and the playoffs: TV networks FOX and CBS might attempt to push back the kickoffs of their Sunday late games beyond their current 4:15 p.m. latest start times to account for the possibility of longer overtimes in their 1 p.m. slate of games. That move would have a domino effect, of course, with the late games going later, and potentially upsetting NBC, which would potentially lose some audience for its Sunday night pre-game show. Already that’s an issue at times when FOX’s postgame show bumps into NBC’s pregame time slot.

As they say in the business, stay tuned for developments in this story.

• It’s pretty clear Andy Reid is trying to make a point to Michael Vick this offseason about staying healthy and on the field in 2012, twice touching on the topic of Vick’s playing style leading to injuries and absences. But really, isn’t that the same point people have been making about Vick for about 10 years now? He’s only started 16 games once in his career, in 2006, and it’s his daring style that provides both the highlights and the problems that come with Vick.

“It’s an important question and he realized that,” Reid said of his starting quarterback. “He realized that the last four teams standing in the playoffs, their quarterbacks started the whole season (Tom Brady, Joe Flacco, Alex Smith and Eli Manning all had 16 starts in the regular season). He knows just from film study that there are times in a game when he can go down and save himself from some hits. Now it’s just a matter of doing that. I think this has been a topic his whole career, and it surely has since we had him. He’ll hopefully grow wiser with age.”

We’ll see. But Vick’s playmaking instincts usually take over when he’s in the heat of the moment, and those instincts often put him in harm’s way. We can talk all we want, but that’s still what makes Vick, Vick.

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NFL: Why the Patriots will win SB XLVI

9eff70740f8626157ea4a20ece8405f1 NFL: Why the Patriots will win SB XLVI
#12 of the answers questions from the press during a media availability session for XLVI at the University Place Conference Center & Hotel on February 2, 2012 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
(February 1, 2012 – Photo by Win McNamee/ North America)

(PhatzRadio / SI) — INDIANAPOLIS — The -Giants Super Bowl rematch has anything but a been-there, done-that feel to it. This is a classic matchup of two proud and well-run organizations, with and quarterbacks who are exceedingly accomplished and familiar, and teams that play the game the right way, and have the long-term results to prove it. We’ve got legacy questions to chew on, matters of revenge and to debate, and all the star power you could possibly hope for on the game’s grandest stage. It’s a game that all week has felt like it should have no favorite, but I’ve had the growing sense that it’s almost time for to re-scale the . Here are my five best reasons the Patriots will be champions once more:

BURKE: FIVE REASONS GIANTS WILL WIN

1. Don’t underestimate the revenge factor in New England. Someone high up in the Patriots organization asked me this week who I liked in this game, and as I answered he just nodded and said I was seeing it the same way he was seeing it. I told him that while it seemed like a complete toss-up on the surface, my gut was telling me to lean toward New England because of how much Tom Brady and Bill Belichick burn to get even with the Giants for that monumental upset and ruined of four years ago.

Trite maybe, but pride is a great , and that memorable Giants victory in Arizona was, by far, the most that Brady and Belichick have had to swallow in their 12-year run together in New England. They lost some of their aura and invincibility that night in the desert, and they’re not the type to quietly forgive and forget. I think they want this one as , and when two teams are this evenly matched, motivation can be the edge that matters.

While Brady and Belichick won three Super Bowl rings in their first four seasons of Brady’s starting , it has been seven long years since they hoisted the shiny trophy and endured the postgame confetti shower. They both are fiercely proud of their accomplishments and legacies in NFL history, and realize that a fourth Super Bowl victory in five tries will catapult them into truly rarefied air, with Brady tying his boyhood idol Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw with four rings, and Belichick matching the great Chuck Noll and the Pittsburgh dynasty in the ’70s as a four-time winner.

Don’t get me wrong, there are legacies to be burnished in this game for Giants quarterback Eli Manning and head coach Tom Coughlin as well. And though I get the sense that New York would love to knock off the New Englanders once more and validate their ’08 win, it’s the Patriots who feel they have to win this one, earning back some of their honor and prestige and proving that all is right once again in the football world. It feels more personal to the Patriots, and in the Super Bowl, nobody influences the outcome more than a team’s quarterback and head coach. It’s going to be a nail-biter, but I’m banking on Brady and Belichick and their difference-making will to win.

2. The Patriots offensive line can both serve and protect. While New York’s pass rush is one of the most fearsome in the NFL, and has had it really rolling in the postseason (nine sacks in ), keeping Brady upright and clean in the pocket has been a strength of New England’s. So it’s a bad assumption to believe that New York will be able to harass Brady the same way it did when it sacked him five times and hit him on nine occasions in their first Super Bowl matchup, four years ago.

The Patriots offensive line has given up just one sack in two playoff games this year, and Denver and Baltimore were no slouches in the pass rush department. For the season, New England’s 32 sacks allowed averaged out to two per game, which is the same number of times the Giants got to Brady in New York’s 24-20 upset of the Patriots in Week 9. Yes, New York’s defensive line is healthier now, but New England’s offensive line has been getting it done all season.

Left tackle Matt Light and left guard Logan Mankins have been superb, and they figure to be in the spotlight on Sunday, given how much production the Giants have gotten out of their right defensive end position, where Jason Pierre-Paul and Osi Umenyiora were both highly effective. Veteran Brian Waters has been a godsend at right guard, after the retirement of Stephen Neal. According to Pro Football Focus, Light had his best performance in pass protection in years, giving up just four sacks all season. Waters has been even better, allowing a team-low two sacks in his first year as a Patriot.

Brady has worked behind a unit that surrendered just 142 pressures in ’11, the eighth-fewest in the league. Eli Manning only wishes he had been that well protected, because New York’s offensive line gave up a league-high 220 pressures, which was 15 more than any other team in the league.

And if New York can’t get enough pressure on Brady with just its front four, it’s clearly advantage, New England. According to ESPN research, Brady carved up defenses for 17 touchdowns and just two interceptions when he was rushed by five or more defenders. So the blitz has been Brady’s friend this season, not his nemesis.

3. Gronk is back on two wheels. I know the last two Super Bowl teams that had key starters battling ankle sprains in the week leading up to the game both lost: The Colts with defensive end Dwight Freeney in ’10 and the Steelers with center Maurkice Pouncey in ’11. But that’s a trend that stops now, because the Patriots’ beast of a playmaking tight end, Rob Gronkowski, practiced at least on a limited basis Thursday for the first time this week, and reportedly suffered no setbacks because of it.

If Gronkowski is even at 85 percent of his effectiveness, the Giants defense is in trouble, because no team has successfully dealt with the matchup problems presented by New England’s two tight-end set of Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. You can take one of them away for portions of the game, but not both. The Patriots use them in so many creative formations — see Hernandez playing running back against Denver in the divisional round — and will find ways to exploit New York’s coverage plans, which appear to center around using safeties against them, with linebacker Michael Boley also responsible for shadowing Gronkowski.

To say Gronkowski has developed into Brady’s go-to receiver is an understatement. Including the playoffs, Brady has targeted Gronkowski 139 times this season, completing 104 of those passes for 1,537 yards, 20 touchdowns, good for a 141.1 passer rating and just three interceptions. In short, he’s a devastating option, and Brady knows how to get him the ball.

We just saw the Giants give up a pair of touchdown passes to 49ers tight end Vernon Davis in the NFC title game in San Francisco, so there are gaps in that New York secondary. Look for the Giants to try to get physical with Gronkowski and Hernandez at the line of scrimmage, getting them out of their routes before they even begin, and limiting how much time they have to find those downfield seams. But Gronkowski is also a great red-zone option for Brady, and that’s where he might still be most effective even if his ankle limits his maneuverability. With his soft hands and his size, Gronk will remain a potent weapon down close to the goal line. Sore ankle, or not.

4. These Patriots don’t crumble, and don’t fade in the face of adversity. It hasn’t always been pretty in New England this year. No one will confuse this for a perfect season. But Bill Belichick’s team has proved to be both tough-minded and resilient, bouncing back numerous times over the past five months.

There was the humiliating 21-point second-quarter blown lead in the Week 3 loss at Buffalo, their first defeat to the Bills since ’03. There were the back-to-back losses in Weeks 8-9 to the Steelers and Giants, performances that made the critics question whether New England’s era of dominance in the AFC was at an end. And there was the season-long debate about the Patriots defense, which simply couldn’t slow opposing offenses down at times, let alone stop them.

But none of those down moments or shortcomings wound up defining this New England team. It stayed the course, endured the rough patches and emerged alive and well, qualifying for the seventh Super Bowl in franchise history and fifth in the past 11 years.

For me, the story of the Patriots season can be summed up in how they handled the two games that ended the regular season, at home against Miami and Buffalo. New England looked horrible early in each game, falling behind 17-0 at the half to the Dolphins and 21-0 to the Bills after just three possessions. But the Pats scored on their first five possessions of the second half against Miami, and won 27-24, and then roared back to victory against Buffalo, finishing with a 49-point unanswered run to blow out the Bills.

That’s what it has been like in New England this year. When you think there’s no way these Patriots can win, or recover, they find their footing and play like champions again. The young defense is playing its best ball of the season at the right time of the year, growing up before our eyes, and the offense still features one of the league’s most potent and breathtaking passing attacks.

So don’t sell the Patriots short. They have their flaws. But they have plenty of strengths, too. This isn’t the mighty 18-0 Patriots of ’07. But New England this year proved it can take a blow, steady itself and land a few punches of its own.

5. I’m getting to be money in the bank in early February. Is anybody but me keeping track out there? I had Green Bay winning in last year’s Super Bowl installment of 5 Reasons Why the Fill-in-the-Blank Will Win. I explained and predicted the path to victory for the underdog Saints over the vaunted Colts two years ago in South Florida in the same Friday staple of our Super Bowl coverage. And it was a similar Nostradamus-like vision I exhibited three years back, when I presciently opted to ride the Steelers horse in their narrow victory over Arizona in Tampa.

So you can confidently cash out that 401K and run to put it all on the Patriots over the Giants in Sunday night’s much-anticipated rematch. Don’t even give it a second thought. My middle name might as well be “Ice Cold Lock.” It’s a gift, really, and who can explain these things. Best just to let it flow and share it with the world.

Oh, and pay no attention to those who might try to point out that I also had the Patriots over the Giants in Super Bowl XLII four years ago in Arizona, or that neither of my preseason Super Bowl picks this year — Green Bay and Baltimore — even made the game this season. Even Nostradamus missed a few.

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