May 20, 2013

Economy, not just war, has many Pakistanis losing sleep

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( News / USA Today) — KARACHI, Pakistan – Danish Arif, a seller of colorful fabrics at the Mehran Bazaar, repeated what many here say about the direction of Pakistan and its latest change in leaders.

“Who cares who comes and who goes,” says Arif as sellers haggle over yards of colorful embroidered cloth. “As long as they’re good for the country.”

The United States’ focus in Pakistan since 9/11 has been on combating , the latest example of which was the suicide bombing Monday of a U.S. government vehicle. The explosion killed two Pakistanis and wounded two Americans.

For Pakistanis, the declining standard of living — and not the war against here or in Afghanistan — is what many say concerns them most. The government has failed to turn around high unemployment, soaring inflation and stagnant wages.

Pakistan’s latest shift in leadership placed former Raja Pervez Ashraf in the prime minister’s seat. He was appointed in June after the Supreme Court ruled that his predecessor, Yousaf Raza Gilani, had to resign for refusing to investigate charges of corruption against the government.

Ashraf inherits a country where killings for profit, as well as politics, honor and , are not uncommon, according to the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan. In Karachi, a city of 20 million that generates half of the country’s wealth, 1,450 people were murdered in the first six , the commission says.

and al-Qaeda terrorists roam free in the country’s and have launched attacks against people it considers un-Islamic in more modern cities such as Lahore.

The U.S. military believes the reclusive head of the Taliban, , is here, and U.S. and Pakistani news media report that U.S. drone strikes regularly kill leaders of radical groups.

The United States has accused Pakistan of not doing enough to combat radicalism despite $1.3 billion in U.S. aid annually. However, under Ashraf, Pakistan resolved a matter of importance to the U.S. military when it reopened a critical border crossing of supplies to American troops in Afghanistan that was shut down after an errant U.S. attack that killed 28 .

Many here believe Ashraf will do little to change everyday life for Pakistanis. “Raja Pervez Ashraf is a nothing candidate, picked in haste,” said Cyril Almeida, a columnist at the DAWN daily newspaper. “His influence on policy will be zero to none.”

Ashraf, 61, served as the minister of water and power from 2008 to 2011 under former prime minister Gilani. In that time, Ashraf was unable to solve the country’s endless power shortages.

Instead, he oversaw the creation of temporary or “rental” power plants, for which he received the nickname “Raja Rental.” In March, the Supreme Court ordered the National Accountability Bureau to investigate the power deals for possible corruption.

The court also threatens to cut short Ashraf’s tenure as prime minister. It has given him until Sept. 18 to explain why he, like his predecessor, has yet to reopen a corruption investigation into Pakistan’s president, Asif Ali Zardari.

Meanwhile, ordinary Pakistanis hope for improvement. Pakistan’s economic growth rate is the lowest in South Asia and has been in decline for 10 years. Nearly one-quarter of its 177 million people live under the international poverty line, according to the World Bank.

Pakistan has an inflation rate of over 11% annually, the highest in Asia. The government is slashing subsidies for electricity and fuel, making things tougher on many Pakistanis.

Hamida Bano, who works as a maid, says most of her income goes to transportation to work and to vegetables and milk for herself, her mother and 13-year-old son. And food keeps costing more. The price of rice has doubled in the past year, she says.

“The prices never come down, they just keep going up. (Earlier), you could afford to buy good quality cooking oil for half the cost you can now,” she says.

Meanwhile, power outages occur for five to 10 hours every day on average, the government says. Mohammed Tayyab, who embroiders women’s outfits for a living in his shop, says his electricity bill has quadrupled in four years.

“I charge the same prices I did four years ago, because there’s so much competition that I would lose customers if I charged more,” said Tayyab, a tape measure hanging around his neck. “When I think of what’s going to happen with the inflation in this country, I can’t sleep.”

Others fret over the worsening violence and crime. Crimes against women, such as rape and honor killings, are on the rise, according to reports from District Police Offices.

“There’s so much bloodshed on the street, you can’t step out of the house,” Arif says.

Pakistan analysts say Ashraf is limited in what he can do because of Pakistan’s all-powerful military.

“I don’t anticipate Ashraf’s election radically impacting U.S.-,” said Arif Rafiq, an adjunct fellow at The Middle East Institute in Washington. “The only risk is that he poorly manages the day-to-day affairs as chief executive.”

Tayyab the embroiderer hopes that is not the case, but he is not optimistic.

“I don’t really care who comes and goes — but, from the looks of things, it won’t be someone uncorrupt,” Tayyab says.

Obama aide: Pakistan impasse might not be solved in Chicago

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(By Charles Dharapak, AP)

( News / USA Today) — CHICAGO— It is looking increasingly unlikely that the U.S. and will hatch a deal on reopening critical supply routes to the U.S. military during the that begins here on Sunday.

Deputy National Security adviser Ben Rhodes told reporters traveling with President on Saturday night that negotiations are ongoing and expressed confidence that the issue will be resolved, but not necessarily quickly.

“We’re not anticipating necessarily closing out those negotiations this weekend,” Rhodes said. ” A lot of it is happening, frankly, at the working level between our governments.”

The closed the U.S. military supply routes into Afghanistan as retribution after a cross-border strike by NATO last November left 24 of their soldiers dead. Pakistan’s President accepted an invitation last week to attend the summit, raising speculation that a deal might be in the works.

But as of Saturday night, there were no plans for the two leaders to meet for a bilateral meeting during the summit. Rhodes downplayed the absence of an Obama-Zardari meeting on the schedule in Chicago, noting that the supply route impasse did not prevent Obama from meeting Prime Minister Gilani on the sidelines of the Nuclear in Seoul in March.

The Obama administration, however, has reportedly chaffed at Pakistan’s call for the U.S. to pay $5,000 per truck that the U.S. military wants to send through Pakistani land into Afghanistan. It’s a steep price, but the Pakistanis have argued that it’s cheaper than continuing the practice of NATO using alternative, longer routes through Central Asia.

Obama arrived on Saturday evening and was greeted at the airport by his old chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, who is now serving as mayor in President Obama’s hometown.

The city is under for this weekend’s summit that is expected to draw leaders from 28 as well as other invitees. Just hours before Obama arrived, the Chicago Police announced the arrest of three men accused of making Molotov cocktails that they had been planning to use to attack Obama’s campaign headquarters, Emanuel’s home and other targets during this weekend’s NATO summit, prosecutors said Saturday.

The three were charged with providing material support for terrorism, conspiracy to commit terrorism and possession of explosives.

Rhodes said he was not aware if Obama had been briefed on the arrests.

“We’re very confident in the ability of Chicago together with the United States government to put on a very successful event in the next few days.”

Afghanistan will be the central topic at this weekend’s summit. The president flew to Afghanistan earlier this month to announce the end of the U.S. combat mission in 2014 and to sign a strategic agreement with President Hamid Karzai that would assure the Afghans assistance in training their military until 2024.

The president will be looking to shore up financial commitments — particularly for training Afghan security forces — from alliance members as NATO gets set to withdraw all of its combat troops from the country in 2014.

Karzai and Obama are scheduled to meet on Sunday.

Obama: Pakistan review must respect U.S. security needs

0f6981c52b989b218667b5672c142208 Obama: Pakistan review must respect U.S. security needs

() – U.S. President told Pakistan Yusuf on Tuesday he hoped a Pakistan parliamentary review of fraught ties with Washington would be balanced and respect U.S. security needs.

In the highest-level contact between the uneasy allies since U.S. commandos killed al Osama bin Laden in a Pakistani last May, Obama conceded relations had been strained in recent months.

Pakistan’s cooperation is considered critical to U.S. efforts to stabilize Afghanistan before most foreign leave at the end of 2014. Pakistan has strong traditional links with the Afghan Taliban and other militant groups.

Pakistan’s parliament has been drawing up recommendations on how to proceed on ties with Washington, including a halt to U.S. drone strikes in the country that have enraged many Pakistanis.

“I welcome the fact that the parliament in Pakistan is reviewing, after some extensive study, the nature of this relationship,” Obama said at the start of the meeting on the sidelines of a nuclear security summit in Seoul.

“I think that it’s important for us to get it right.”

The White House parried the question of whether drone strikes had been discussed during their meeting, saying only that on counter-terrorism, the leaders reviewed how to ensure an ongoing dialogue to improve cooperation.

Gilani said he was pleased to hear Obama talk about sovereignty, and both men spoke of their mutual interest in a stable Pakistan and Afghanistan, putting a measured public face on what has become a severely damaged diplomatic relationship.

called the a violation of its sovereignty, deeply straining ties between the two nations, which sank even further in November when in Afghanistan killed 24 Pakistani border soldiers by mistake.

“There have been times — I think we should be frank — in the last several months where those relations have experienced strains,” Obama said.

Pakistan shut off ground supply lines to the U.S.-led NATO mission in land-locked Afghanistan in the wake of the attack, and forced U.S. personnel off a base used to launch drone strikes against militants along the Pakistan-Afghan border.

Obama said he hoped the parliamentary review would take a “balanced approach that respects Pakistan’s sovereignty, but also respects our concerns with respect to our national security and our needs to battle terrorists who have targeted us in the past”.

This was the sole reference to Bin Laden, whose killing in a military town within several hours’ drive of the Pakistani capital strained U.S. belief that he could have lived there for years without the knowledge of someone in the government.

Speaking after the meeting, White House national security council spokesman Ben Rhodes said it had made “important progress in both sides, being able to hear directly from one another about what their views are”.

(Writing by Alister Bull; Editing by Nick Macfie and Jeremy Laurence)

Pakistan urges Afghan Taliban to enter peace talks

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(Pakistan’s Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani (C) waves after arriving to the Supreme Court in on February 13, 2012. On Friday, Gilani urged leaders of the Afghan Taliban movement to enter direct peace negotiations with the Kabul government. / Photograph by: Khursheed, )

(Reuters) – Pakistan on Friday urged leaders of the Afghan Taliban movement to enter direct peace negotiations with Kabul, a possible sign that Islamabad is stepping up support for reconciliation in neighboring Afghanistan.

Both Afghan and U.S. officials have long accused Pakistan of using militant groups as proxies in Afghanistan to counter the influence of , allegations Islamabad denies.

Pakistan is critical to efforts to bring the Afghan Taliban to the negotiating table because of its historical ties to the group.

Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani said in a statement that Pakistan was “prepared to do whatever it takes” to help the Afghan reconciliation process succeed. He called on Hizb-i-Islami — one of Afghanistan’s most notorious insurgent factions — and other militant groups to negotiate peace.

The United States is attempting to stabilize the country before foreign combat troops withdraw at the end of 2014.

The has established some contacts with the Taliban, who have made a strong comeback after being toppled by a U.S. invasion in 2001, but there are no signs that full-fledged peace talks will happen anytime soon.

U.S. diplomats have also been seeking to broaden that began clandestinely in Germany in late 2010 after the Taliban offered to open a representative office in the of Qatar, prompting demands for inclusion from Kabul.

Afghan has frequently urged Pakistan to advance the peace process.

“IT’S IMPORTANT”

Rahimullah Yusufzai, an expert on regional affairs, said Gilani’s comments marked a shift in Pakistani policy.

“It’s important because I am hearing this for the first time, that the or somebody that important is urging the Taliban … to talk directly to the Afghan government,” he said.

Afghan officials are holding talks with the Afghan Taliban in Pakistan, the head of a provincial peace council in the insurgency’s heartland Kandahar said on Tuesday.

Kandahar peace council head Ata Mohammad Ahmadi told Reuters the officials had been meeting for “some time” with mid-level Taliban commanders in the southwest Pakistani city of Quetta, where the leadership of the militant group is said to be based.

It is unlikely that any meetings between Afghan officials and Taliban commanders could take place in Quetta without the knowledge of Pakistan’s pervasive intelligence agencies.

Pakistan may have stepped up its cooperation with the Afghan government by allowing the meetings in Quetta.

Afghanistan is known to want access to Taliban leaders belonging to the so-called Quetta Shura, or council, named after the city where they are believed to be based. Kabul believes they would be the decision makers in any substantive peace negotiations aimed at ending the war now in its eleventh year.

Pakistan has consistently denied giving sanctuary to insurgents and says no Taliban leaders are present in Quetta.

Ties between Pakistan and Afghanistan were strained for months after the assassination in September of Afghan peace envoy and former president Burhanuddin Rabbani.

Afghan officials blamed Pakistan’s intelligence agency, allegations angrily denied by Islamabad.

But Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar said after a recent trip to Kabul that a lot of the ill-will between the neighbors had faded.

(Additional reporting by Rebecca Conway in ISLAMABAD; Editing by Nick Macfie)

Pakistan officials to meet on rules for U.S., NATO

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ISLAMABAD (AP) – ’s top military and were set to meet Saturday in a closed-door session to discuss new rules on coordinating with the United States and NATO, officials said. Islamabad’s uneasy alliance with the U.S. was brought to the by November airstrikes which killed Pakistani soldiers.

The meeting could also provide an opportunity for reconciliation between the military and the civilian government after a week of escalating tensions and rumors of a coup on the horizon.

Saturday’s meeting of the government’s defense committee was called to discuss recommendations from parliament about new terms of engagement with the United States and NATO, according to a senior and defense ministry official. Both spoke anonymously because of the sensitivity of the issue.

Pakistan set up this committee after errant airstrikes near the Afghan border killed 24 . The incident prompted Islamabad to shut NATO and U.S. supply routes running into Afghanistan through Pakistan.

Khursheed Ahmed, a ’s , said lawmakers had recommended that the Islamabad seek “guarantees” from Washington that it would respect Pakistan’s sovereignty and avoid any future violations of the country’s borders. He declined to say what such guarantees would look like or any other details.

Both Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kayani and Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani are expected to attend, bringing the two men into the same room together at a time when the civilian and military sides of the government have appeared increasingly divided.

The army has staged at least three coups in Pakistan’s six-decade history. It still considers itself the true custodian of the country’s interests. On Wednesday, it warned of “grievous consequences” for the country in an unusual statement, setting off the latest round of coup fears.

Also Wednesday, Gilani fired the defense secretary in a rare display of civilian government assertiveness against the army. And then on Thursday, President Asif Ali Zardari flew to Dubai for a wedding. He returned the next day, but the trip renewed speculation that he might flee Pakistan if he felt he was about to lose power.

On Friday, Gilani called for a “show of confidence” vote in parliament to support of the government. Lawmakers will vote on the resolution Monday.

Gilani said then that the parliament must choose between “democracy or dictatorship.”

The current standoff between the military and the government can be traced back to a scandal last year in which an unsigned memo was sent to Washington asking for its help in heading off a supposed coup.

Analysts say Gen. Kayani has little appetite for a coup, but they say the generals may be happy to allow the Supreme Court to dismiss the government by “constitutional means.” The court has legitimized early coups.

In the southwest, meanwhile, said a court has acquitted three Iranian border guards held on murder charges and will hand them over to Iranian officials.

Pakistan detained the men Jan. 1 in Baluchistan province for fatally shooting a man as they chased smugglers into Pakistani territory.

Taliban claim suicide bombing that killed 6 in Pakistan

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cordon-off the site of a suicide car bombing in Bannu.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: The attack has killed six Pakistani soldiers and wounded 18, a says
The say the attack was in for the killing of their fighters
The attack occurred along ’s volatile border region near Afghanistan
A suicide car bomber targeted a Pakistani military housing area, an official says

(CNN) — The Taliban are claiming responsibility for a suicide car bombing Saturday that struck a military housing area in Pakistan, a for the group said.

The attack, which authorities say killed six Pakistani soldiers, was “revenge” for the killing of the group’s fighters, Ihsanullah Ihsan, a spokesman for the Pakistani Taliban, told CNN by telephone.

The attack occurred when the explosive-laden car rammed into a house in the city of Bannu, a senior police official told CNN.

The house is used by Pakistani soldiers to rest and relax, said the police chief, Gul Syed .

He said 18 soldiers were wounded. About 100 soldiers were at the house at the time of the explosion, he said.

The attack comes as Pakistan’s military is under fire by Gilani for what he has claimed are military plots to topple the government.

The Pakistani military has denied Gilani’s claims.

Obama expresses ‘condolences’ to Pakistan’s president

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President Obama called Pakistani President on Sunday, the White House said.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Obama says the “was not a deliberate attack on Pakistan,” the White House says
White House: Obama and Zardari reaffirm their commitment to U.S.-Pakistan relations
The conversation is the latest bid to address strained relations between the two nations
A NATO airstrike killed 24 Pakistani troops on November 26

(CNN) — U.S. President Barack Obama called Pakistan’s president Sunday to express condolences over the airstrike that killed 24 soldiers near the Afghanistan border more than a week ago, the White House said in a statement.

“The president made clear that this regrettable incident was not a deliberate attack on Pakistan and reiterated the United States’ strong commitment to a full investigation,” the statement said. “The two presidents reaffirmed their commitment to the U.S.-Pakistan bilateral relationship, which is critical to the security of both nations, and they agreed to stay in close touch.”

The conversation between Obama and Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari was the latest bid to address strained relations between the two nations after a NATO airstrike killed the Pakistani troops on November 26.

After the attack, Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani told CNN that Pakistan was re-evaluating its relationship with the United States.

NATO later called the subsequent caused by the strike “tragic (and) unintended.” U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta have called the incident a “tragedy” and offered condolences, though Washington has not issued a .

The issue of U.S. and fellow coming into Pakistan has been an especially sensitive topic in that country since May, when U.S. commandos killed then al Qaeda leader in Abbottabad without Pakistani leaders’ consent

During an exclusive interview last week with CNN, Gilani said the country wants to maintain its relationship with the United States as long as there is and respect for Pakistani .

Asked directly if Pakistan is getting that respect, the prime minister said: “At the moment (it is) not.”

“If I can’t protect the sovereignty of my country, how can we say that this is mutual respect and mutual interest?” he asked rhetorically.

Pakistan has taken several steps aimed at NATO since the attack.

That includes an announcement Friday, by Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar, that NATO and International Security Assistance Force supplies could no longer be routed through Pakistan. The country has served a vital supply route for allied forces who have been fighting for more than a decade in neighboring Afghanistan.

Officials: U.S. talked with Pakistan before fatal airstrike

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By

U.S. officials said checked first with their Pakistani counterparts before launching a controversial, fatal airstrike last weekend – though such claims have not resonated among in Islamabad, who officially shut down NATO movement inside that nation Friday.

Some 24 Pakistani troops were killed in the November 26 strike, which has prompted vigorous criticism in and spurred its Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani to say that Islamabad is now reevaluating its relationship with Washington.

According to two U.S. officials familiar with the initial assessment of the incident, U.S. commandos were working alongside Afghan troops when they came under fire in a poorly marked border area. The troops did not tell about the mission ahead of time, because they thought it would take place entirely within Afghanistan.

The U.S. officials declined to be identified, citing the of the information. They also stressed that a more thorough investigation is ongoing, which could turn up new information. That probe, headed by U.S. Air Force Brig. Gen. Stephen Clark, is due on December 23.

Before calling in airstrikes, the U.S. forces checked with a Pakistani liaison team. They were not seeking permission – because the airstrikes were described as a matter of self-defense – but were making sure Pakistani troops weren’t in what was called a poorly marked border area, the officials said.

After that consultation, the U.S. believed there were no Pakistani forces nearby, which turned out not to be true.

NATO later called the subsequent caused by the strike “tragic (and) unintended.” U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta have called the incident a “tragedy” and offered condolences, though Washington has yet to issue a formal apology.

One of the U.S. officials said it wasn’t clear if the Pakistanis just didn’t know their forces were in the vicinity or didn’t understand the location the U.S. forces were talking about.

“Mistakes were made on both sides,” one U.S. official said.

Pakistani officials, for their part, have not given any indication that their forces had any communication with NATO troops ahead of the attack. In recent days, in fact, they have taken more and more steps aimed at the military coalition – which continues to be active in Afghanistan and also has gone at times into Pakistan, including for the mission that killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden this year.

That continued Friday, when Pakistani Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar said that NATO and International Security Assistance Force, or ISAF, supplies would no longer be routed through Pakistan.

Pakistan’s Cabinet and its defense committee unanimously approved this measure, which mirrors a parliamentary resolution passed in May after U.S. forces killed bin Laden in without Pakistan’s consent. Parliament would have to approve a reversal of this new policy, Khar said.

“We want to be partners with the world, in this effort to bring peace and stability to the region. But not at the cost of Pakistan’s own and territorial integrity,” she told reporters.

The implementation of this policy follows like-minded, if less definitive, moves made this week.

Specifically, Pakistani authorities turned back 300 trucks carrying NATO supplies and fuel into Afghanistan on Monday. The next day, the Cabinet “noted with satisfaction” that supply lines had been closed and a request had been made for the United States to vacate the Shamsi Air Base.

Pakistan has also decided to boycott a conference on the future of Afghanistan set for next Monday in Bonn, Germany.

Besides whether or not there was advance notice of the strike, there are many other points of contention between Pakistan and U.S. officials.

One has to do with the reported firing on U.S. and Afghan forces, which allegedly prompted the airstrike. A U.S. official said that the Clark-led investigation is trying to determine who shot at the allied troops. Pakistan’s military , Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas, has denied that Pakistani troops prompted the attack by firing on NATO helicopters, insisting that the NATO forces fired first on Pakistani military checkpoints.

A U.S. official on Friday suggested that the strike’s targets were not standard military outposts, but more like “encampments.” “There were a bunch of tents, there was no base, there was no walled compound,” the official said.

Journalist Shaan Khan contributed to this report.

Pakistan’s prime minister issues a warning to U.S.

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No ‘business as usual’ with U.S.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: A top Afghan official warns of possible conflict with Pakistan
Pakistan denies firing first at NATO aircraft that killed two dozen
The Pakistani say Pakistan must respond in kind to the attack
Pakistan’s prime minister warns about violations including the Osama bin Laden raid

Islamabad, Pakistan (CNN) — Tensions among Pakistan, Afghanistan and the United States jumped a notch Monday, with Pakistan’s prime minister warning there would be “no more business as usual” with Washington after NATO aircraft killed two dozen Pakistan troops.

The Pakistani Taliban urged Pakistan to respond in kind to the , which NATO called a “tragic unintended” event.

The Pakistani military insisted Monday it had not fired first in the incident, and it said it had told NATO its aircraft were firing on friendly troops.

Meanwhile, a top adviser to warned that Afghanistan and Pakistan could be on a path to conflict.
Anger in Islamabad
U.S.-Pakistan relations strained
NATO admits fault in Pakistan attack

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Raza Gilani said in an exclusive interview with CNN Monday that Pakistan was re-evaluating its relationship with the United States.

He said the South Asian nation wanted to maintain its relationship with the United States as long as there was and respect for Pakistani .

But Gilani highlighted incidents such as the killing of the and a U.S. raid into Pakistan to kill Osama bin Laden as violations of his country’s sovereignty.

The prime minister also said Pakistan had not yet decided whether to boycott next month’s Bonn conference on the future of Afghanistan.

Pakistan turned back 300 trucks carrying NATO supplies and fuel into Afghanistan Monday, Syed Ahmed Jan and Mutahir Zeb told CNN.

Pakistan is a vital land supply route into Afghanistan for the United States and its allies.

Separately, Pakistani military spokesman Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas denied the reports that Pakistani troops opened fire first on the NATO helicopters.

Speaking by phone to Pakistan’s Geo TV News, Abbas said NATO helicopters opened fired first on the Pakistani military checkpoints.

Abbas said the soldiers notified Pakistan military headquarters, which informed the NATO authorities immediately.

The spokesman said Pakistani soldiers fired at the NATO aircraft in retaliation.

NATO’s secretary-general earlier said it was a “tragic unintended” incident, and pledged to ensure such attacks don’t reoccur.

“NATO remains strongly committed to work with Pakistan to improve cooperation to avoid such tragedies in the future,” Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in a statement.

The Pakistani Taliban appeared Monday to try to widen the rift between Pakistan and the United States.

Pakistan Taliban spokesman Ihsanullah Ihsan said in a phone call to CNN that America will infringe on Pakistan’s sovereignty and continue operations on Pakistani soil in the coming days.

Ihsan said Pakistan must respond in kind to the NATO attacks, and he warned that the Pakistani Taliban will continue their jihad as long as Pakistan remains an ally of the United States.

In Kabul, meanwhile, a senior adviser to Afghan president Hamid Karzai said Afghanistan and Pakistan may be on a course toward military conflict.

Ghani said the link between Pakistan and the assassination of a former Afghan president had united his country “against interference.”

Ghani accused Pakistan of harboring and assisting the insurgency in Afghanistan, and said his country’s neighbor probably helped the suicide bomber who killed Burhanudin Rabbani in September.

“You need to talk to Pakistan and Pakistan needs to choose,” Ghani said. “Does it want to slide down a path of three generations of conflict with Afghans?”

“The assassination of President Rabbani has gelled the nation together against interference. And one or two more actions could put us in an irreversible course [towards] conflict. And we’ve shown through our history that we are a match for any invader,” he said.

The two nations have been trading accusations in the border regions in the past few months, with Pakistan accusing the Afghans of harboring militants and Afghanistan claiming Pakistani shells have hit their territory.

India-Afghan strategic pact:the beginnings of regional integration

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(Phatforums News / ) — A strategic between India and Afghanistan would ordinarily have evoked howls of protest from which has long regarded its western neighbour as part of its sphere of influence. Islamabad has, in the past, made no secret of its displeasure at India’s role in Afghanistan including a$2 billion aid effort that has won it goodwill among the Afghan people, but which sees as New Delhi’s way to expand influence.

Instead the reaction to the pact signed last month during President ’s visit to New Delhi, the first Kabul had done with any country, was decidedly muted. Yusuf Raza said India and Afghanistan were “both sovereign countries and they have the right to do whatever they want to.” The Pakistani echoed ’s comments, adding only that should be preserved. It cried off further comment, saying it was studying the pact.

It continued to hold discussions, meanwhile, on the grant of the Most Favoured Nation to India as part of moves to normalise ties. Late last month the cabinet cleared the MFN, 15 years after New Delhi accorded Pakistan the same status so that the two could conduct trade like nations do around the world, even those with differences.

And on Thursday, Gilani met Indian counterpart Manmohan Singh on the margins of a regional summit in the Maldives and the two promised a new chapter in ties, saying the next round of talks between officials as part of an engagement on a range of issues will produce results. Afghanistan or the pact, was scarcely mentioned in public, although it is quite conceivable that the two would have talked about it.

Is there a shift in the ground, in both ? Pakistan is battling multiple crises, including ties with the United States that at the moment certainly look worse than those with India. It is also struggling to tackle a melange of militant groups that have metastasized into a mortal danger for the Pakistani state itself and a deep economic downturn that a nation of 180 million people can ill-afford at this time. While it continues to invest time and energy in Afghanistan, a large part of the war has come home too and it is struggling to enforce its writ on its side of the Pasthun-dominated lands that straddle the two countries. A lessening of tensions with India can only help at this point.

India, meanwhile, has shot out of the blocks building a trillion-dollar economy that dwarfs everyone else’s in the region, not just in size but also growth rates even if it is slowing down now. It still has a long way to go to meet the aspirations of a billion plus people and realise its own potential, though. It needs peace within and on the borders and it needs closer economic ties with all its neighbours. Its economic stakes are rising across the region including Afghanistan where Indian firms, along with the Chinese who preceded them, are the only ones prepared to risk blood and treasure to exploit its mineral resources. Conversely if a pomegranate farmer in southern Afghanistan- the heartland – wants to sell his produce to the booming Indian market, New Delhi wants to do whatever it can to try and make that possible.

A hostile Pakistan until now has balked at trade and transit, but if India and Pakistan begin to have normal trade ties following the breakthrough on MFN, then easier flow of goods from Afghanistan seems a natural possibility. The long-running project to pipe gas from Turkmenistan and through Afghanistan, Pakistan and then India may seem less of a dream as the economies of India and Pakistan begin to interlock and both sides develop stakes in the well being of the other to protect their investments and trade.

Indeed, Sajjad Ashraf, a former Pakistan ambassador to Singapore and now a professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, cautioned against a knee-jerk Pakistani reaction to the Indo-Afghan treaty. In a paper for the Institute of South Asian Studies, he said that a careful reading of the pact suggests that the countries involved want to develop Afghanistan as a hub linking South and since it sits in both regions. Which isn’t such a bad thing for the countries of south Asia but especially Pakistan which by its geography as landlocked Afghanistan’s neighbour with the longest border has a key role to play.Ashraf said :

“If the three countries can reach an understanding and let India develop Afghan capacity leading to regional economic integration, Pakistan too becomes a winner. In the age of globalisation, following any other course will result in Pakistan lagging behind.

For India, peace in Afghanistan is important to be able to exploit the vast economic potential of the Central Asian states. It shares Afghanistan’s concerns about the security of the nation after the western withdrawal from a combat role in 2014. Ashraf wrote :

India is concerned, which everyone should be, at the return of a medieval Taliban like regime in Kabul that could become the staging ground for cross border extremism into India.

It makes little sense for India to keep the borders with Pakistan tense, least of all turning up the heat on its western flank with Afghanistan, Ashraf said. India doesn’t have a contiguous border with Afghanistan and the last thing it needs is a costly entanglement there. Besides, it is obvious to everyone, including the stategic community in India, that there cannot be lasting peace in Afghanistan without the support of Pakistan.

Pakistan’s security establishment would worry about potential security cooperation between India and Afghanistan flowing from the strategic pact. ( A separate one is under negotiations with the United States) But so far New Delhi had been sensitive to Pakistani concerns, according to U.S. Under Secretary of Defence for Policy Michele Flournoy. She said New Delhi had avoided a playing a major role in the training of Afghan security forces.

Ultimately, the key to Afghanistan’s future was unlocking its potential, tying it into the economies of its neighbours and hope that it will strengthen the state to stand firmly on its feet once its powerful backers retreat three years from now.