May 22, 2013

Cyprus secures bailout from eurozone, IMF

 Cyprus secures bailout from eurozone, IMF
German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks during a media conference at an EU summit in Brussels on Friday.(Photo: Geert Vanden Wijngaert, AP)

Story Highlights

Economy of Cyprus represents less than 0.2% of the ’s annual economic output
was still considered crucial to the eurozone’s future
Default even by a small country could roil markets and undermine

BRUSSELS (AP) — Cash-strapped Cyprus secured a $13 billion from its and the in a bid to prevent the from entering a bankruptcy that could rekindle the region’s , officials said early Saturday.

In a major departure from established policies, the package foresees a one-time levy on the money held in bank accounts in Cyprus. Analysts have warned that making depositors take a hit threatens to undermine investors’ confidence in other weaker eurozone economies and might possibly lead to bank runs.

In return for the rescue loans, Cyprus will trim its deficit, significantly shrink its troubled , raise taxes and privatize state assets, said the Netherlands’ Jeroen Dijsselbloem, president of the Eurogroup meetings of the 17-nation eurozone’s finance ministers.

“The assistance is warranted to safeguard financial stability in Cyprus and the eurozone as a whole,” he said, briefing reporters after almost 10 hours of negotiations.

People with less than €100,000 in their Cypriot bank accounts will have to pay a one-time tax of 6.75%, those owning more money will lose 9.9%. The measure will be carried out early next week and is expected to net €5.8 billion in additional revenues, Dijsselbloem added, thereby greatly reducing the country’s financing need.

“We found it justified in terms of burden sharing to also involve the depositors,” said Dijsselbloem, noting that it was a “unique measure” because of Cyprus’ outsized .

“As it is a contribution to the financial stability of Cyprus, it seems just to ask a contribution of all deposit holders,” Dijsselbloem added.

Analysts have warned that imposing such a drastic measure could be seen as a watershed moment, undermining the eurozone’s credibility. Although the leaders stressed the levy was a unique measure for Cyprus, they said the same when private holders of government bonds were forced to accept losses in Greece.

The measure therefore risks scaring investors in Europe’s weaker economies, which could lead them to move their deposits to more stable eurozone countries like Germany. In that case, banks in southern Europe’s economies might be considerably weakened and could possibly require new bailouts. That could then weaken the respective governments, which might then need further assistance from their eurozone partners — possibly setting off a vicious spiral.

But Joerg Asmussen, a member of the European Central Bank’s governing council, sought to dismiss fears of bank troubles stemming from the levy, saying the stands ready to provide financial institutions with emergency liquidity assistance.

“The levy, it’s an appropriate tool. It’s really tailor-made to the situation in Cyprus,” he said. “It’s a country in extreme financing need, and what you do is to expand the tax base, not only to residents but also to non-residents,” he said.

Russian citizens are estimated to have at least €20 billion in deposits in Cyprus.

Asmussen stressed that there was no risk of such a levy being implemented in other countries that have already received bailouts, such as Greece, Ireland or Portugal, because those countries’ financing needs are covered by their international rescue loans.

In a sign of how exceptional and urgent a decision the one-time levy is, Cypriot banks are already implementing measures to make sure that depositors cannot withdraw money to shrink the tax basis, Asmussen said. The remainder of their holdings can be withdrawn, he added.

But Cypriot Finance Minister Michalis Sarris added that electronic bank transfers won’t be possible before Tuesday, Monday being a regular holiday in the country. In return for their one-time tax payment, depositors will get an equivalent stake in the bank where they have their account, he said.

“It was a very difficult decision,” Sarris acknowledged, but added that “much more money could have been lost in a bankruptcy of the banking system or indeed the country.”

Cypriot lawmakers are expected to approve a law on the bank levy over the weekend, and the money will be levied starting Tuesday.

“I want to underscore that this is a once and for all levy. We wanted to do it in a way, in a decisive way … to remove any doubt about the future,” Sarris said. “There is no reason whatsoever that deposit holders in Cyprus, existing and new ones, should have any concerns.”

While the Cypriot bailout is many times smaller than Greece’s €240 billion package or Ireland’s €67.5 billion, it is still considered crucial to the future of the eurozone because a default even by a small country could roil financial markets and undermine investor confidence.

Cyprus’ financing needs to recapitalize its banks and keep the government afloat were initially estimated to total €17 billion, which is almost the equivalent of Cyprus’ annual economic output and would have ballooned the country’s public debt to about 140% of its economy, a level the IMF considers unsustainable.

The creditors therefore sought to exhaust all avenues to have Cyprus raise more revenue to reduce the need for external financing.

Losses will also be imposed on the banks’ junior bondholders, the officials said. In addition, Cyprus agreed to increase its capital gains tax, and to raise its corporate tax by a quarter, from 10 to 25%, Dijsselbloem said.

To further reduce the financing needs, Russia was expected to significantly extend the maturity of a €2.5 billion loan granted in 2011 after the country could no longer tap international markets.

The ministers also agreed to make sizeable Greek operations of the country’s two largest banks, Bank of Cyprus and Laiki, eligible for spare rescue cash from Greece’s bailout accord.

Under the bailout deal, Cyprus debt is forecast to reach about 100% of GDP by 2020.

The economy of Cyprus, an eastern Mediterranean island of just over a million people, represents less than 0.2% of the eurozone’s annual economic output.

Cyprus, which first applied for a bailout last summer, wasn’t in imminent danger of bankruptcy, as it faces its next bond redemption in June. But the European Central Bank, concerned that prolonged uncertainty over Cyprus could hurt market sentiment across the eurozone, had pushed for a swift deal, even threatening to cut the country’s financial system off from emergency funding.

The finance ministers’ agreement still has to be approved by parliaments in several eurozone nations. EU officials say everything should be done by the end of the month.

To appease its potential rescue creditors, Cyprus has already accepted an independent audit of its banks, which hold billions in Russian deposits, to soothe concerns voiced by Germany, France and others that they launder dirty Russian money.

Copyright 2012 The

Business: Germany’s Merkel sets limits on euro zone risk-sharing

 Business: Germanys Merkel sets limits on euro zone risk sharing

() – European leaders agreed on Friday to press on with further steps to tackle their but threw out a proposal to boost risk-sharing with a fund to help euro zone states in trouble.

Germany’s rejection of an idea strongly backed by France showed the potential for more tensions over crisis management, a day after the bloc clinched a deal on euro zone-wide banking supervision and approved long-delayed aid to Greece.

After more than eight hours of late-night talks, leaders promised to push ahead with setting up a mechanism to wind down problem banks and launched talks on how to make countries stick to economic targets with the help of a common fund.

But at an early morning news conference, Merkel made clear that proposals for a substantial “” fund and common unemployment insurance were off the table, setting out a far more restrained carrot-and-stick vision.

“We are talking about support linked to improvements in competitiveness.” Merkel told reporters of the fund envisaged.

“We are talking about a very limited budget. Not three digit billions, rather 10 or 15 or 20 billion euros.”

European , backed by France and other countries, proposed in the run-up to the summit establishing a more ambitious “fiscal capacity” for the euro zone that could form the basis for common — an idea seen with great skepticism in Berlin.

Francois Hollande insisted the aim of closer fiscal integration would still be to bolster growth and jobs as well to encourage reform.

However he distanced himself from the idea of a large euro zone standby budget to tackle one-off economic shocks.

“I prefer to talk about a solidarity mechanism,” he told a news conference, adding that leaders had charged EU President Herman van Rompuy with setting out the details next year.

With officials concerned about complacency creeping into decision-making now that financial markets have calmed and the crisis seems less acute, leaders appeared intent on showing that they are not relaxing.

That said, German elections late next year and France’s reluctance to consider any EU treaty changes needing an awkward referendum before European Parliament elections in 2014 are already putting a brake on the pace of decision-making and limited the summit to verbal commitments rather than decisions.

“CASSANDRAS”

The two-day summit, the sixth and last of 2012, had been intended as a detailed discussion on how best to overhaul economic and monetary union and correct the problems that have fuelled three years of debt crisis.

The meeting was held just hours after EU finance ministers achieved a significant breakthrough in negotiations over a ‘banking union’ by agreeing that the European Central Bank would be made the chief supervisor of euro zone banks.

That decision, and another by euro zone ministers to release up to 50 billion euros in new aid to Greece, marked two positive developments after a long year of crisis-management and took some of the pressure off leaders to make major strides.

President Mario Draghi hailed the deal on banking supervision, the first stage towards a banking union with more pooled sovereignty, as an important step towards a stable economic and monetary union.

Under the deal, officials said the ECB would regulate some 150 to 200 banks directly – all major cross-border lenders and state aided institutions – with the power to delve into all 6,000 banks in case of problems.

Olli Rehn, the EU commissioner for economic and monetary affairs, said “Cassandras” who had predicted disaster for the euro and a Greek exit had been proven wrong.

But a series of major hurdles remain. The next stages of banking union – creating a resolution fund for winding up troubled banks and coordinating deposit guarantees to protect savers – may be fought over even harder. And then there will be political and financial obstacles to negotiate through the year.

Much of southern Europe faces another year of grinding recession with record unemployment and deepening poverty that will tear at the fabric of wounded societies and may push governments’ efforts to reduce deficits further off course.

With Silvio Berlusconi vowing to contest an Italian election early next year, a full bailout of Spain still on the cards and a German election in September casting a long shadow, 2013 promises to be the EU’s fourth turbulent year in a row, even without counting ongoing risks from bailout victims Greece, Ireland and Portugal.

Italy is a particular concern if the next government rows back on any of the economic reforms put in place by technocrat Prime Minister , whose time in office has helped stabilize financial markets and stave off the crisis.

“What Mario Monti and his government have done in the past months has contributed strongly to a rise in confidence in Italy,” Merkel said.

(Additional reporting by Luke Baker, Paul Taylor, Rex Merrifield, Robin Emmott and Jan Strupczewski in Brussels, Madeline Chambers in Berlin and Gilbert Kreijer in The Hague; Writing by Mark John and Noah Barkin)

Protesters break into German conference in Greece

 Protesters break into German conference in Greece

THESSALONIKI, Greece (AP) — Dozens of anti- protesters broke into a conference center in northern Greece and clashed with police on Thursday to demonstrate against the presence of a .

The protesting municipal workers pushed and threw coffee on a German diplomat who arrived to attend the conference of Greek and German mayors being held in the city of Thessaloniki. They later forced open shutters and entered the conference center, where they clashed with .

A German deputy who has been appointed special envoy to Greece, Hans-Joachim Fuchtel, was also attending the event.

“These people haven’t come here to help us, but to announce our death sentence,” said Themis Balasopoulos, leader of Greece’s municipal workers union, who was at Thursday’s demonstration.

The protesters chanted “Nazis out” and “This will not pass” as they tried to obstruct municipal officials from attending the conference.

Germany is the biggest contributor to Greece’s rescue loans and has been one of the most vocal advocates of the tough demanded of Athens. As a result, protesters in Greece often Germany in their demonstrations.

Last month, around 50,000 people demonstrated in Athens when paid here first official visit to Greece since the country’s crisis broke out. She expressed support for the conservative-led government’s efforts to limit high .

The last week passed a new austerity package that creditors had demanded in exchange for paying out more rescue loans. The package raised the retirement age and cut pensions and raised taxes. It has also has eased restrictions on firing workers.

In a chaotic scene on Thursday, riot police chased protesters through the conference center complex from building to building. There were no immediate reports of arrests.

The protesters played Nazi anthems over loud speakers, as well as Greek radio recordings from World War Two.

Left-wing German lawmaker Annette Groth joined the protesters outside the conference center, where clashes with riot police also occurred.

“I have also been unemployed,” she told the crowd. “It is not you who should pay the price for this crisis but the rich.”

Analysis: Euro exit talk risks self-fulfilling prophecy

2f6b2301495859fc4c9cab3295ff8229 Analysis: Euro exit talk risks self fulfilling prophecy

() – To understand the impact of a potential Greek exit from the , imagine an operating theatre inside a betting shop.

As surgeons prepare to amputate a gangrened foot to prevent infection spreading to healthier parts of the body, gamblers on the sidelines lay bets on which limb will be next for the chop.

Talk of a possible Greek exit has already sapped investors’ confidence in the 17-nation single and contributed to higher borrowing costs for Spain and Italy. It is making a planned return to market funding next year harder for Ireland and Portugal, which are implementing tough programs.

Some European politicians and central bankers clearly see jettisoning a delinquent member as a salutory lesson to others not to abuse club privileges. Like the English in Voltaire’s philosophical novel Candide, they believe “it’s a good thing to execute an admiral from time to time, to encourage the others”.

Other policymakers and fear that pushing Greece towards the exit would start a , materializing huge costs for investors and taxpayers and perhaps triggering a break-up of the euro.

, Europe’s most powerful political leader, has appeared to be on both sides of the argument at different times.

She said that ensuring the stability of the euro was a bigger priority than guaranteeing Greece’s continued membership. But she has also said a Greek exit would cause a disastrous “domino effect”, scaring investors away from Europe.

The election last month of a Greek government committed to sticking to an adjustment program agreed with the euro zone and the in exchange for some 240 billion euros in loans has brought only a temporary respite.

Greece has slid further off course from its fiscal and targets, the man in charge of privatizing state enterprises resigned last week in despair at delays, and the European Central Bank stopped accepting Athens’ bonds as collateral for lending to Greek banks.

Pundits are now vying to forecast which country may have an interest in leaving first – EU paymaster Germany or Greece, creditors states or debtors.

U.S. economist Nouriel Roubini, a regular doomsayer on Europe, has suggested that Finland, a triple-A rated fiscally prudent northern state, might be first out the door due to anxiety about ever growing liabilities for euro zone weaklings.

“If Greece moves closer to exit and Italy and Spain end up on the verge of losing market access and requiring even more risky financial support from the euro zone core, Finland may decide that the additional credit risk is not worth the benefit,” Roubini wrote on his EconoMonitor website.

Regardless of their accuracy, such prophecies highlight how European governments and lawmakers are coming to see membership of the euro area as a zero-sum game, in which each state feels like a victim of its partners’ actions and decisions.

Foreign exchange strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch enlisted game theory to analyze which euro zone country might see an economic interest in jumping ship.

Put simply, game theory states that players may not trust each other enough to cooperate or may see greater gains for themselves in non-cooperation, even though the outcome would be better for all players if they did cooperate.

Hence, while Germany and Greece would both stand to gain if Greece carried out its austerity program and German accepted common euro zone bonds, neither is likely to choose that course because each would be better off without making a sacrifice.

Applying the same techniques to the economics of a voluntary exit from the euro, strategists David Woo and Athanasios Vamvakidis concluded that Italy and Ireland both had a greater interest in leaving than Greece.

By contrast, Germany had the lowest incentive of any country to leave, despite its economic power and strong fiscal position, because it would suffer lower growth, possibly higher borrowing costs and a negative balance sheet effect, they said.

Italy had a relatively high chance of achieving an orderly exit and could make significant gains in competitiveness and growth with a weaker currency, they argued.

Former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who is pondering a political comeback in a general election next year, has said that leaving the euro would be “no blasphemy”.

European monetary union was officially declared to be irrevocable and irreversible. The Maastricht Treaty provides no exit clause once countries join the euro, although the 2009 Lisbon Treaty did for the first time make it legally possible for a country to leave the European Union.

An EU official involved in crisis management, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the issue, said it would be fatal for confidence if the euro area came to look “like a hotel lobby with a revolving door”.

Yet some outside experts say the absence of an exit clause is one of the design flaws of the euro that should be fixed now.

U.S. Federal Reserve policymaker James Bullard said this month the possibility of an exit from Economic and Monetary Union was one of the principal issues facing EU policymakers.

“The common refrain that no country can ever be allowed to leave the EMU is altering the incentives for nations to take the actions necessary to maintain membership,” he argued in a speech in London.

“The incentive effects for a member country to remain in the EMU must be considered very carefully going forward. Policies should be designed with an eye toward these incentives, and can no longer assume that the political processes will back the EMU in all circumstances,” he said in a speech in London.

Bullard cited the work of economist Russell Cooper of the European University Institute, who has proposed creating a penalty called “Euroisation” in which a delinquent state would stay in the euro but lose its voting rights and its access to the ’s lending window until its fiscal behavior improved.

That might satisfy the creditors’ wish to see fiscal “sinners” pay a penalty, but it will not hold the euro zone together.

(Writing by Paul Taylor, editing by William Hardy)

Whole EU backs bank oversight role for ECB: Welt

68d6aff6fb15d0d309a7f3b7f86170b9 Whole EU backs bank oversight role for ECB: Welt

() – All 27 countries in the European Union will support giving the European Central Bank a bigger supervisory role for the bloc’s at next week’s summit, German newspaper Die Welt reported on Friday, citing EU diplomats.

European has mustered the support of all member states to ask the to draw up for making the Frankfurt-based the new central as soon as possible, it said.

“Van Rompuy has the backing of all 27,” the newspaper quoted one as saying.

The paper said there had been no decision yet on what would happen to the London-based Authority (EBA), the existing supervisory body whose role has been criticized, among others by German .

(Reporting by Stephen Brown)

EU says China, U.S. also have economic work to do

f5cb7d05f648e9eac0c3fd558930669b EU says China, U.S. also have economic work to do

() – The United States and Japan need to tackle their tax issues and China must relax restrictions on the yuan as they share responsibility with Europe for restoring global economic health, EU leaders said ahead of a June summit of the G20 economies.

In a letter addressed to all 27 European Union nations, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President said Europe was doing all it could.

“Europe has stepped up and assumed its special responsibility for securing the of the euro area and we will continue to do so,” said the letter in the run up to the in Los Cabos, Mexico.

“It is now up to all G20 members to enhance their efforts and deepen our cooperation in order to ensure a sustained global economic recovery.”

In particular, it looked to the United States to avoid falling off a “fiscal cliff” – avoiding the problems that could result from tax rises and spending cuts meant to take effect at the end of the year. It also called on China to deliver reforms.

“Whilst we are firmly focused on playing our part, at Los Cabos, all other G20 partners should also recognize their responsibilities in building a sustainable recovery,” the letter, made public late on Friday, said.

The United States and Japan also needed to implement “credible medium-term plans”, it wrote.

“We should also call on China to continue strengthening its social safety nets, carry out further structural reforms and move to a market-determined exchange rate.”

Europe’s emphasis on the efforts needed from other nations follows protracted criticism it has not done enough to spur growth.

At a earlier this month, the leading industrialized nations came down in favor of balancing austerity – as favored by – with U.S.-style stimulus.

An informal summit in Brussels, which ended in the early hours of Thursday, was the first following the election of in France.

It marked a shift in EU emphasis towards growth and the end of close agreement between Hollande’s predecessor and Merkel on debt-cutting.

Rompuy and Barroso said data had shown EU-internal imbalances were being reduced, although more needed to be done and, in this context, it referred not just to countries in deficit, but also those in surplus.

BALANCE ON LOS CABOS AGENDA

A senior official from a G20 nation, who asked not to be named, said many countries would be pushing for a better balance between fiscal adjustments and growth at Los Cabos.

“There’s a view to stress the importance of measures to boost global growth, that fiscal consolidation can’t be allowed to hurt growth,” the official said.

The official also said countries were ready to send a “clear message of support to the euro zone and to maintain the integrity of the euro zone”.

This week’s informal EU summit also backed Greece staying in the , while respecting its commitments. Friday’s letter reiterated that message.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde added her voice to the calls for Greece to abide by the rules. In an interview with Britain’s Guardian newspaper she said Greeks had to take responsibility and pay their taxes.

“I think they should help themselves collectively,” she was quoted as saying. “By all paying their tax.”

FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE

Rompuy and Barroso said the EU was on track to implement IMF reforms, as part of global efforts to strengthen financial architecture.

“We will stress that the full implementation of the 2010 reforms is a critical element for boosting the legitimacy, credibility and effectiveness of the IMF,” their letter said.

They added IMF members should be ready for “constructive discussions” on the review of the IMF rules on quotas, taking account of the need to improve IMF accountability, oversight and effectiveness.

Financial market reform should be another major theme for debate by the 20 leading economies, the letter said.

“The EU is well on track to have all financial reforms fully in place by 2013 and we expect our partners to move along with us,” the EU leaders said.

They also urged the G20 to tackle trade barriers as another way to get the economy back on track and create growth and jobs.

“The recent surge in protectionism is a major concern and the G20 should strengthen the existing monitoring mechanism and improve on notifications and transparency,” their letter said.

(Additional reporting by Krista Hughes in Mexico City; Editing by Sophie Hares)

Diplomatic marathon: G8 focusing on Greece; NATO, on Afghanistan

b93ade7a23949684f511ed18f0002e22 Diplomatic marathon: G8 focusing on Greece; NATO, on Afghanistan

President greets Italian Prime Minister upon his arrival at Camp David in Maryland on Friday.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: NATO leaders have come up with a security for Afghanistan, officials say
The Group of Eight leaders are taking up discussions about the crisis
Hanging over the discussions are concerns that Greece may exit the eurozone
The leaders agree North Korea faces further isolation if it pursues a nuclear program

Chicago () — World leaders huddling in high-stakes, back-to-back summits this weekend will tackle the European and the future of the Afghan war

The diplomatic marathon started Friday, when Group of Eight leaders began its two-day meeting at President Barack Obama’s Camp David retreat in Maryland. On Sunday, NATO kicks off its two-day summit in Chicago.

The G8 — comprising the United States, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy, Canada and Russia — is expected center on whether an economically weakened, debt-laden Europe should continue down the road of massive deficit cuts trumpeted by German Chancellor Angela Merkel or focus more on to help the continent grow its way out of the current crisis.

Hanging over the deliberations is the fate of economically battered Greece, which has been unable to form an elected government. Many analysts believe that Athens will be forced to exit the eurozone shortly, dropping the euro currency and possibly further rattling .

The fate of Greece was also front and center during a bilateral meeting Friday between Obama and newly elected , who was elected on a platform opposing increasingly unpopular eurozone spending cuts.

Obama, who is hosting the Camp David summit, said he and Hollande agreed the issue was of “extraordinary importance” to the world economy.

“Greece must stay in the eurozone,” Hollande insisted during his meeting with Obama. We all “must do what we can to that effect.”

The began Friday with a roundtable dinner. Discussion focused on security challenges in Iran, Syria, North Korea and Burma, according to the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

There was wide agreement among the leaders that North Korea faces further isolation if it continues its pursuit of a nuclear program, and they widely agreed that its Iran’s responsibility to prove its nuclear program is being developed for peaceful purposes rather than the development of weapons, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity as a matter of practice.

The G8 leaders, who have been divided over how to respond to the conflict in Syria, agreed that a peace plan brokered by U.N. special envoy Kofi Annan was not being honored, the official said. Russian and China vetoed a U.N. Security Council condemning the violence and calling on President Bashar al-Assad to step down.

The leaders, including Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, agreed it was time to focus on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is not attending he G8 meeting, which makes significant progress on either Syria or Iran unlikely. Russia has been at odds with the United States and other G8 countries over exactly how hard to crack down on Damascus and Tehran.

On Sunday, the war in Afghanistan is expected to dominate discussions at the NATO summit. Afghan President Hamid Karzai and Pakistani President Asif Zardari are both expected to attend the meeting.

NATO leaders are currently on a timetable to withdraw all of the alliance’s combat troops from Afghanistan in 2014.

Senior administration officials tell CNN that NATO members have tentatively agreed on a security transition plan from NATO’s International Security Assistance Force to the Afghan National Security Forces before 2014. The plan, which also lays out a NATO training and advisory role after 2014, is expected to be formally adopted at the summit.

One of the key issues to be discussed in Chicago is who will pay to build up Afghan security forces during and after the NATO drawdown. Afghan national security forces should total around 350,000 by 2015, according to CNN National Security Analyst Peter Bergen. Karzai’s government can afford to cover only a fraction of the cost, which is expected to total roughly $4 billion annually after 2014, Bergen notes.

Non-U.S. ISAF countries are being asked to come up with $1.3 billion, the officials said.

Another issue is Islamabad’s continued blockade of much-needed NATO supplies over Pakistani roads to Afghanistan. Pakistan has kept its airspace open but closed its ground routes after the death of about two dozen Pakistani soldiers in November at the hands of NATO forces at a post on the Afghan-Pakistan border. NATO insists that the incident was an accident. Negotiations on the issue continue, the senior administration officials said.

Obama officials are also pushing for more Pakistani involvement in peace talks with the Taliban.

The United States also expects Hollande to announce the removal of French combat troops from Afghanistan — a position he asserted during the presidential campaign.

Protests are expected near the sites of both the G8 and NATO summits this weekend.

“We expect the worst and hope for the best,” said Ross Rice, an official with the Chicago FBI. That “is the way to characterize how the weekend plays out.”

Merkel to urge China to cut Iran oil imports: source

067971092587bdd5a3ce9efe2c076035 Merkel to urge China to cut Iran oil imports: source

() – German will use a planned visit to China this week to encourage Beijing to reduce its imports of , a German government source said on Tuesday.

Last week, the European Union agreed to ban from July 1 all imports of oil from Iran, ’s second largest producer, in a drive to pressure Tehran into reining in its .

“It is in German interests that China does not raise its imports (from Iran). It would be good if China would reduce its imports,” the government source told a news briefing ahead of Merkel’s that begins on Wednesday.

China has criticized the EU ban, saying it is “not a .”

Beijing, the world’s second largest crude consumer, has long opposed that Iran’s energy sector and has tried to reduce tensions that could threaten its oil supply.

The 27-nation EU delayed until July the entry into force of the oil import ban because it also wants to avoid penalizing the ailing economies of Italy, Greece and others for whom Iran is a major .

The EU strategy will be reviewed in May to see whether it should go ahead.

Western powers accuse Iran of planning to build nuclear weapons. Tehran says its nuclear program is for purely peaceful purposes.

(Reporting by Matthias Sobolewski and Gareth Jones; editing by James Jukwey)

Sarkozy, Merkel to meet as Europe seeks crisis exit

4c7fdf107234b7b3612a0f89b8fd25d5 Sarkozy, Merkel to meet as Europe seeks crisis exit

() – France’s Nicolas Sarkozy will meet in Berlin on January 9 for talks that are likely to centre on new rules to enforce budget discipline across the European Union.

The two leaders are anxious to flesh out a plan agreed at a December summit by all EU members except Britain for a new treaty to forge closer fiscal integration, as Europe battles to stem a sovereign in the .

The ’s office announced the upcoming meeting but gave no further details.

from the EU’s 27 members will meet on January 23 before their leaders hold a summit a week later. They will be under intense pressure to find a definitive solution to the crisis which threatens the very survival of the single currency, 10 years after it came into circulation.

Italy’s Prime Minister Mario Monti, who is still battling to shore up confidence in the Italian economy, will also meet the French and German leaders this month as well as British Prime Cameron.

All except Cameron agreed at an emergency summit on December 9 to draft a new treaty that would implement tougher rules on budget discipline, including automatic sanctions for deficit offenders.

However a new treaty could take some time to finalize.

Adding to the pressure, are scrutinizing countries in the 17-nation currency bloc for possible sovereign downgrades, which would immediately push up government borrowing costs and weigh on efforts to bring public finances under control.

Calls are mounting for the European Central Bank to take more to stem the crisis by stepping up its purchases of government debt, a move beyond the current limits of its mandate which France has strongly backed in the past but Germany has so far opposed.

(Reporting By Vicky Buffery; Editing by )

Euro failure is ‘luxury we can’t afford,’ Sarkozy warns

0e7c1b6d6d3927bc395ea7db4659bddf Euro failure is luxury we cant afford, Sarkozy warns
German leader Angela Merkel arrives in France ahead of a crucial meeting later in Brussels billed as make or break for the Euro
STORY HIGHLIGHTS

NEW: The head of the European Central Bank warns of more bad times ahead
If the European Union fails this week, it will not get a second chance, Sarkozy says
Germany and France want the EU to have more influence over national budgets
Britain’s may be an obstacle to the changes

Brussels, Belgium (CNN) — must band together to save the euro this week, the leaders of the eurozone’s two biggest economies said Thursday, even as the head of the European Central Bank was warning of more bad economic times ahead.

Failure to reach an agreement at a summit in Brussels, Belgium, is a “luxury we cannot afford,” said.

“This is our duty. We have no other choice,” he said, warning that the European Union would not get a second chance.

said countries had to put their “national egotisms” aside and find a joint solution to the continent’s .

The national debts of euro members including Ireland and Greece have pushed the common currency to the , forcing international lenders to swoop in with bailouts.

The budget cuts they have demanded have led to that brought down governments in both countries — and they are not the only ones with worrying levels of debt.

The French minister for European affairs, Jean Leonetti, warned earlier Thursday that the euro could “explode” and Europe could “unravel.”

That would be a “disaster not only for Europe but for the whole world,” Leonetti told the French TV station Canal+ Thursday morning.

Hours later, the European Central Bank cut a key interest rate to 1%, effective December 14. It’s the second cut in the rate in as many months.

But the head of the bank, Mario Draghi, warned that inflation was likely to stay high in the eurozone and growth would remain low.

Germany and France are now pushing for more European Union influence over the national budgets of the countries that use the euro.

Sarkozy and Merkel will present details of their plans at the summit.

But the plans could require all 27 members of the European Union to agree to change fundamental EU treaties — and British Prime Minister David Cameron has vowed to drive a hard bargain before he will go along.

The United Kingdom is one of 10 EU countries that does not use the euro.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has been touring Europe ahead of the summit to underline the importance of the EU’s bringing the crisis under control.

“I want to emphasize again how important it is to the United States and to countries around the world that Europe succeeds in this effort to build a stronger Europe, and I’m confident they will succeed,” Geithner said in France Wednesday.

Thursday he met Mario Monti — who also came to power when his country’s government collapsed over a debt crisis.

Geithner assured Monti that Washington supported his efforts to balance his country’s budget.

Monti said he would meet President Barack Obama in Washington next month.

Some details about another EU plan have already leaked.

European nations could be penalized by being stripped of some powers if they fail to manage their budgets, according to a confidential memo from Herman Van Rompuy leaked Tuesday.

Van Rompuy’s proposals may be even stricter than those of Merkel and Sarkozy.

The five-page memo proposes that the European Commission might be given the right to strip voting rights within the European Union from some countries who have been bailed out but are still not meeting their deficit targets.

The executive arm of the EU could force bailed-out countries, such as Greece, Ireland and Portugal, to comply with deficit regulations, which for the entire EU currently stand at 3% of GDP.

The meeting will occur under the shadow of a recent report from the rating agency Standard & Poor’s, which threatened to downgrade 15 eurozone member states. Even the AAA-rated nations France and Germany have been placed on review for possible downgrade as the debt crisis continues to worsen.

Two eurozone members were not placed on credit watch — Greece, because its credit rating already reflects a high risk of default, and Cyprus, which was already under review.