May 21, 2013

Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks

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Pure Fun and jockey Garrett Gomez, left, overpower Blonde Fog to win the Grade I Hollywood Starlet in December at . Pure Fun will run against the boys in the Lexington Stakes on Saturday.(Photo: Benoit Photo)

Story Highlights

The Lexington Coolmore Stakes is the last real Derby prep race before the May 4
The Pure Fun will race against the boys at on Saturday
The Illinois Derby, a non points race, will also be run on Saturday

(PhatzRadio / )
— Since it was moved to two weeks before the , the Lexington Stakes has been more likely to produce horses for the than the Derby.

Charismatic, the 1999 , is the last horse to wear the roses after racing back in two weeks.

The Lexington is a “wild-card” race, worth 20 points to the winner under Churchill Downs’ new points system for determining which 20 horses get in the .

No horses in Lexington’s 11- have any points. But a Lexington win could land the winner on the bubble, with a fair chance of making the field, considering the typical Derby attrition in the final weeks. But first that winner must be nominated to the Triple Crown, and its connections must be interested in running.

This year the Lexington could have more impact on the than the Derby or even Preakness. The Grade III stakes’ 7-2 favorite is Magdalena Racing’s filly Pure Fun, who, after a dazzling 9 1/4-length in a Churchill Downs on dirt last fall, went to California and won the Grade I Hollywood Starlet.In her lone race this year, Pure Fun was third in Turfway’s Grade III Fathead Bourbonette Oaks. She will start from Post 11, with Rosie Napravnik picking up the mount in the 11/16-mile Lexington on ’s Polytrack surface.

CALVIN’S MOUNT: Borel to ride Revolutionary in Derby

Trainer Kenny isn’t looking at the Derby — Pure Fun isn’t nominated — but rather the Oaks. While 3-year-old filly races don’t count toward Derby points, the Derby preps do count toward Oaks points. Churchill’s reasoning is that the Derby preps are open to both sexes, but the Oaks preps are not. Pure Fun is probably safely in the Oaks with 20 Oaks points, which ranks her 13th; the Oaks is limited to 14 fillies.

“I’m not really running for points; I think she needs to run,” said , who a week earlier won the Toyota Blue Grass with Java’s War. “(Otherwise) I’m six weeks between races. I don’t have anything fast enough to think I can prep her for a mile-and-an-eighth race. I’d rather use the race as a steppingstone.”

Other top contenders are Gulfstream Park allowance winner Cerro, who started his career on turf in Italy; Turfway’s John Battaglia winner General Election; Todd Pletcher-trained Keeneland allowance winner Winning Cause; Louisiana-bred Sunbean, making his first start for Mike Maker; and Santa Anita off-the-turf allowance winner Examen.

General Election and Examen are among the five Lexington horses not nominated to the Triple Crown.

Derby production: The Lexington has produced two Derby winners: Swale, who was upset in the 1984 Lexington when it was three weeks before the Derby, and Charismatic, who won both races.

Illinois Derby:

The Illinois Derby, excluded from the points system by Churchill Downs, repositioned itself to be a Preakness prep, moving to four weeks before the middle leg of the Triple Crown and bumping the purse to $750,000. Departing, third in the Louisiana Derby after capturing his first three races, heads the capacity field of 14. Trainer Al Stall has said there is no interest in trying to run Departing (who has 20 points) in the Kentucky Derby, even if he should win the Illinois Derby.

Road to the Derby: Churchill Downs has changed the method in which horses earn their way into the Kentucky Derby if more than 20 are entered for the next May 4 race, abandoning preference based on graded-stakes earnings in favor of a tiered points system involving 36 races. There are two remaining points races left, billed as “wild-card” races to allow bubble horses to try to earn enough points to make the field. Saturday’s Coolmore Lexington and the April 27 Derby Trial at Churchill offer 20 points to the winners. It appears now that 30 points easily gets a horse in the field, with 20 the new bubble number.

Point leaders (only horses still being considered for the Derby listed): Orb, Verrazano, 150; Goldencents, 129; Java’s War, 122; Overanalyze, Revolutionary, 110; Lines of Battle, 100; Vyjack, 70; Will Take Charge, 60; Itsmyluckyday, Govenor Charlie, Black Onyx, Palace Malice, 50; Normandy Invasion, Frac Daddy, 44; Mylute, 42; Oxbow, Super Ninety Nine, Falling Sky, 30.

Saturday’s Derby points race: $200,000 Coolmore Lexington (G3), 11/16 miles on Polytrack, Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky., 5:13 p.m. ET, TVG. Also on Saturday: $750,000 Illinois Derby (G3), 11/8 miles, Hawthorne Race Course in Stickney, Ill., 6:15 p.m. ET, TVG.

Rees also writes for The (Louisville) Courier-Journal

Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks is a post from: PhatzRadio.com

 Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks  Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks  Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks  Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks  Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks

 Horse Racing Recap: Lexington Stakes looking like filly’s prep for Oaks

Syrian rebels show ‘huge growth’ in capability

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( News / ) — WASHINGTON – Syrian rebels are growing more effective as they have increasingly turned to and other guerrilla tactics to topple the regime of , according to military statistics and analysts.

Syrian forces have pushed rebels from major cities, such as Homs, but insurgents operate with near impunity in parts of the countryside, outside the reach of Syria’s overstretched military.

“We’ve really seen in the and first week of July a huge growth in rebel capability,” said Joseph Holliday, a Syria analyst at the who recently completed a report on the conflict. Rebels are getting a boost from ammunition and money that have begun flowing into Syria, primarily from Persian Gulf countries, the report says.

The employment of improvised explosive devices, such as roadside bombs, has nearly doubled through June of this year compared with all of last year, according to the U.S. military’s Joint Improvised Defeat Organization. The numbers that percentage is based on are classified. The Institute for Defense Analysis, which conducts research for the U.S. government, reported that 236 improvised explosive devices were discovered or detonated in Syria this year.

Despite rebel progress, Syria’s army is still capable of holding the major cities and protecting the regime, creating conditions for a long struggle. “I wouldn’t be surprised if this long bloody cycle of could go on for quite some time,” said Aram Nerguizian, a military strategy analyst at the .

Rebel ranks have swelled to about 40,000 since the insurgency started more than a year ago, according to the Institute for the Study of War report. They face overwhelming from an army of more than 200,000 active-duty troops, pro-government and security services equipped with tanks, artillery and helicopters.

Russia, a major arms supplier to Syria, said Monday that it would not sign new weapons contracts with Assad’s regime until the situation calms down. International envoy Kofi Annan said he has reached a framework with Assad for a cease-fire but has yet to discuss it with rebel leaders.

Some Republicans call for the United States to do more to support the rebels against an adversary aligned with Iran. “We should get arms to them so that we can balance the forces,” Arizona Sen. John McCain told CBS’ Face the Nation this weekend. “It’s not a fair fight.”

Insurgents have abandoned efforts to hold cities such as Homs, where an offensive by the Syrian military drove them from the city.

“They understand they can’t confront the Syrian army,” said Sterling Jensen, an analyst at the National Defense University’s Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies. “They are going to just weaken it.”

The new rebel strategy has freed up fighters to concentrate forces in strategic areas such as Atarib, a town that controls the road between the Turkish border and Aleppo, a commercial hub. Rebels have held the town despite repeated military offensives, Holliday said.

Rebels are growing more organized, establishing regional military and civilian councils. However, many rebel groups remain rivals, competing for resources and influence. “Eventually they’re going to have to unite more,” Jensen said.